John Thomas | TalkMarkets | Page 7
Hedge Fund Executive
Contributor's Links: Mad Hedge Fund Trader
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (U.C.L.A.) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in ...more

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The Mystery Of The San Francisco Sublease
Commercial real estate agents are baffled. Economists are confused. Even Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen is focusing a great deal of attention on the issue. What the heck is going on with the San Francisco office subleasing market?
Why The "Underground" Economy Is Growing
Most investors rely on economic data to dictate their trading strategies. When the data is strong, they aggressively buy stocks, assuming that a healthy economy will boost corporate profits.
Why We Do Put Spreads
I’m starting to wonder if the June 14 Fed meeting will be the last bout of volatility in the market that we see for a while.
Learning The Hard Earned Trading Lesson Of May
I am going to use this morning’s dip to come out of the SPY June, 2016 $212-$217 in-the-money vertical bear put spread at cost. This is being prompted by OPEC’s failure to reach a production ceiling once again.
Why I Don’t Care About Oil
With the price of oil closing at a low on Friday of $48.33, you’d think I might be concerned. In actual fact, oil was exactly at $48.33 a year ago. If you’d taken a one year cruise around the world, as I advised, you’d wonder what the fuss is about.
Taking Advantage Of The Flip Flopping Fed
I am going to double de-risk here ahead of the May nonfarm payroll on Friday and the flip-flopping Fed on June 14. Taking small profits has been the lesson of May. At the $2.82 price, we are capturing 45.45% of the maximum potential profit.
What’s On Your Plate For This Week
It should be a boring week of low volume summer trading, as traders sit on their hands awaiting this week’s big economic reports. It’s going to be a fairly active week on the data front, despite the shortened four days.
My Personal Leading Economic Indicator
There is no limit to my desire to get an early and accurate read on the US economy, which, at the end of the day, is what dictates the future of all of our investments.
Why I Love Banks
You remember the banks, don’t you? That was the sector that was priced for perfection in anticipation of eight consecutive quarter point interest rate raises starting in December.
How To Buy A Solar System
It’s just a question of how long it takes Moore’s Law-type efficiencies to reach exponential growth in the solar industry. Accounting for 2% of the country’s electrical power supply today, we are only six doublings away from 100%.
Why I’m Buying Bonds
Having flip-flopped twice so far in 2016, my bet is that the Federal Reserve flip-flops on its monetary policy, yet again. Yes, buying bonds may appear like high treason for someone who has been trading stocks for a half century.
Are Stocks Lying?
The dollar, Euro, Yen, US Treasury bonds, commodities, gold, silver, and oil all say interest rates are rising on June 17. Stocks are saying they’re falling. The million-dollar question is: Who’s lying?
The Flip Flopping Fed Strikes Again!
Once again, a flip flopping Fed has reversed its message to the market, suggesting that interest rates will rise as soon as its June 17 meeting.
Welcome To The Deflationary Century
Ignore the lessons of history, and the cost to your portfolio will be great. Especially if you are a bond trader. We are not just having a deflationary year or decade, we may be having a deflationary century.
Watch Out For The Head And Shoulders Top
The market has been chattering quite a lot about the massive downside bets on the S&P 500 being placed by some of the industry’s best known players. It is the sort of news that gives investors that queasy feeling in the pit of their stomachs.
Coining A Profit On Our FXY Put Spread
Spread pricing can be very volatile, and the liquidity in the options market isn’t that great these days.
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