Chris Ciovacco Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
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Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide.

The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions:

(1) How much should we ... more

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Latest Posts
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Rate Cuts: Death Knell Or New Beginning For Stocks?
In this video We examine what has happened historically when the Federal Reserve cuts rates.Overall, it seems like good things happen in the stock market.
FV What's Next: New SP500 Highs, Or A Recession?
What's more likely: new all-time highs in the S&P 500, or an ugly recession? Trade and tariffs are the intermediate-term wild card.
After An Extremely Rare Move In Bonds, How Have Stocks And Bonds Performed In The Past?
When investors are concerned about future economic outcomes they migrate toward more defensive-oriented long-term U.S. Treasury bonds (TLT). The recent surge in demand for defensive bonds caused an extremely rare and extended look on charts of TLT.
FV Will Trump’s Tweets Push Stocks Over Bearish Cliff?
Are the trade wars sending the stock market down a bearish plunge or do the fundamentals and technicals show a normal and expected pullback?
Learning From The 1998, 2002, 2009, 2011, And 2016 Stock Market Lows
1998, 2002, 2009, 2011, and 2016 all featured sharp S&P 500 drops followed by relatively rare and rapid shifts in market breadth.
FV Has The Stock Market Reached A Point Of No Return?
Topping process? Studies review market from new angles, including a look at how companies survive and thrive over decades - or don't.
Testing A Recent Market Hypothesis
To date, the market has not done anything to seriously jeopardize the original finding of keeping an open mind about better than expected outcomes in the stock market over the next 2-3 years.
FV Are Stock Bears Finally Going To Have Their Day In The Sun?
We review the latest fundamentals and technicals to see if a bearish shift in momentum has started. Has the four-week pullback in the S&P 500 negated our April 5 analysis?
Trade War: Escalation Phase
The markets are adjusting to the shift from a cooperative phase in the trade war to an escalation phase.
FV Trade War: How Concerning For Stock Market Investors?
The market is becoming more vulnerable to a pullback and historically, 4%-10% pullbacks in the S&P 500 have been associated with a political or fundamental event. The trade war is one such possible pullback triggering event.
Long-Term Vs. Intermediate-Term
The market has moved a long way since making a V-bottom late in 2018 and is starting to show some signs of slowing momentum on shorter-term timeframes.
FV Superfecta Signal For Stocks: Bullish Or Bearish?
In this video we look at a 'superfecta' of signals to determine whether markets are leaning bullish or bearish.
Rare Shift In P&F Buy Signals
A rare shift recently took place in the NYSE Bullish Percent Index.
FV Are Stocks Closer To A Major Top Or A Major Bottom?
We review the market from different perspectives to determine if stocks are hitting a major bottom, made in late December, or are we closer to a major top.
Short-Term Momentum
Given the duration and magnitude of the current rally, concerns still remain. However, Tuesday’s session did provide some notable short-term shifts on the S&P 500’s daily chart.
Rare Shift In Stock/Bond Ratio
The commodity channel index can be used to identify rare and extreme shifts in investor conviction.
1 to 16 of 557 Posts
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