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Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide.

The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions:

(1) How much should we ... more


Latest Posts
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Bulls Trying To Make A Stand
During the trading session on Monday, August 19, the “bottoming process” case for the stock market remained intact.
Are National Financial Conditions Saying The Stock Market Is In Big Trouble?
The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index allows us to better understand the present day in the context of economic and stock market history.
A Rare Selloff On Wall Street
Monday’s close came near the 61.8% retracement of the rally that began in early June.
The Message From The Stock/Bond Ratio
The S&P 500 recently spent 18 weeks below the 23-week moving average and then printed 15 consecutive weekly closes above the 23-week, which indicates a significant and sustained shift in the market’s perception of future economic outcomes.
2019 Market Action Points To Positive Long-Term Outcomes
Rare market action in early 2019 remains relevant.
What Can We Learn From Stock Market Momentum?
S&P 500 momentum is determined by the net aggregate opinion of all market participants and thus, helps us assess the market’s risk/reward profile.
Monthly Breadth: Dark Clouds Or A Ray Of Hope?
There is nothing magical about market breadth when viewed in isolation; it is simply one component making up the weight of the evidence. Therefore, it is important we continue to review incoming information with an open mind about all outcomes.
Are Institutions Selling Into This Rally?
It is highly unlikely any binding agreements will be made between the United States and China at this weekend’s G-20 meeting. Thus, markets will most likely move based on signs of escalation versus signs of getting back to the negotiation table.
What Typically Happens When These Charts Flip?
One of the best ways to strip opinions and personal bias out of any market analysis is to compare facts from the past to present-day facts.
After An Extremely Rare Move In Bonds, How Have Stocks And Bonds Performed In The Past?
When investors are concerned about future economic outcomes they migrate toward more defensive-oriented long-term U.S. Treasury bonds (TLT). The recent surge in demand for defensive bonds caused an extremely rare and extended look on charts of TLT.
Learning From The 1998, 2002, 2009, 2011, And 2016 Stock Market Lows
1998, 2002, 2009, 2011, and 2016 all featured sharp S&P 500 drops followed by relatively rare and rapid shifts in market breadth.
FV Has The Stock Market Reached A Point Of No Return?
Topping process? Studies review market from new angles, including a look at how companies survive and thrive over decades - or don't.
Testing A Recent Market Hypothesis
To date, the market has not done anything to seriously jeopardize the original finding of keeping an open mind about better than expected outcomes in the stock market over the next 2-3 years.
Trade War: Escalation Phase
The markets are adjusting to the shift from a cooperative phase in the trade war to an escalation phase.
Long-Term Vs. Intermediate-Term
The market has moved a long way since making a V-bottom late in 2018 and is starting to show some signs of slowing momentum on shorter-term timeframes.
Rare Shift In P&F Buy Signals
A rare shift recently took place in the NYSE Bullish Percent Index.
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