Chris Ciovacco | TalkMarkets | Page 1
Registered Investment Advisor (RIA)
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Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets? ...more

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A Logical Assessment Of Recession And Bear Market Odds
Since we know Fed policy works with long and variable lags, it is prudent to revisit the soft vs. hard landing question as we prepare for 2024.
Broad Turn In Weekly Momentum Bodes Well For Stocks
The weekly chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY contains numerous forms of improvement which tell us to be open to more upside in the coming weeks and months.
The Message From Twelve Post-CPI Charts
The developments following the better-than-expected CPI data increase the odds the primary bullish trend is in the process of retaking control.
Six Charts That Say A Lot About The Market’s Outlook
The Nasdaq Composite’s anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP) chart says the market is at a very important juncture.
Patient And Measured Approach
he bears control the short-term tape and the bulls have been unable to flip the script. However, that statement applies to every stock market correction that occurs within the context of a longer-term uptrend.
VIX Not Forecasting A Debt Crisis, Recession, Or Bear Market
The S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.83% between the July closing high and last week’s closing low. The VIX can be used in a weight-of-the-evidence approach to examine the correction or bear market question.
The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly Stocks
If energy prices, interest rates, and still-elevated inflation push the Fed to hike significantly further than previous expectations, the rally off the October low could fail.
Stock Market Near Key Support Band
DIA has lagged SPY in 2023. Evolving bullish evidence in laggards is a good sign for market leaders, including SPY.
High Yield Signal Does Not Align With Long-term Bearish Outcomes
The weekly Ichimoku Cloud chart for the SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF shows a trend that rolled over in early 2022, formed a base in 2H 2022, and resumed an uptrend in 2023.
Nasdaq 100 Signal Says Stocks Could Post Impressive Multi-Year Gains
Thirty-five calendar days ago, the Nasdaq 100 triggered an extremely rare long-term momentum signal that should be of great interest to long-term investors.
Charts/Data Do Not Support Imminent Debt Crisis Theory
The fundamentals and technicals continue to support the resumption of a demographically driven secular bull market that could last until 2034.
Long-Term Outlook Remains Favorable
The S&P 500 established a new uptrend following the October 2022 low by making a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Charts Say Pullback Should Be Followed By Higher Highs
When the odds are favorable, as they are today, investors’ focus should be on the sustainability of the long-term trend.
Demographics: A Triple Economic Boom Is Coming
In the next 10-15 years, the financial markets and economy will be significantly impacted by three major forces: (1) Millennials, (2) Generation Z, and (3) artificial intelligence.
18 Charts That Say 'Long-Term Opportunity In Stock Market'
The odds associated with all investments (ETFs, individual stocks, bonds, etc.) are impacted by the market's tolerance for risk, which can be monitored numerous ways.
Stocks: The Longer-Term View
If the S&P 500 made a cyclical low in October 2022 in the context of a secular bull market, when we look back in 2-3 years, ETF leaders will most likely come from the technology sector, with a large cap bias.
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