Yohay Elam | TalkMarkets | Page 279
Contributor's Links: Forex Crunch
Yohay Elam has been into forex trading for over 5 years, and shares the experience and the knowledge accumulated after taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, Elam has earned the significant share of his knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ...more

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Brexit: Just How Bad Would It Be For Sterling? – CIBC
As we explained, Remain has regained momentum around the murder of Jo Cox and the pound is soaring. But if the referendum’s verdict is Leave, how low will the pound go?
EURUSD Prints Rejection Candle, Eyes Recovery
With EURUSD closing higher on a rejection candle the past week, a move higher in the new week could be building up. Support lies at the 1.1200 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.1150 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1100 level.
NZD/USD Forecast June 20-24
The New Zealand dollar enjoyed good data coming out of the country but was limited by some risk-off sentiment related to Britain’s EU Referendum.
Bremain Momentum – Will GBP Jump?
The markets are closed but pollsters don’t rest. Figures released by various companies show a tighter race. Some indicate loss of momentum for Brexit ahead of the tragic murder of MP Jo Cox while others show a direct shift in voting intentions.
US Housing Data Comes Out Mixed – USD Remains Pressured
The US dollar was on the back burner, following the big recovery of the pound. The mixed housing data does not change the picture.
Forex Weekly Outlook June 20-24
Risk off sentiment dominated during most of the week, but things reversed later on. It’s all related to the UK’s EU Referendum coming next week. Two testimonies from Janet Yellen, US Durable Goods Orders and German surveys will also play roles.
GBP/USD: Range And Projected BOE Action
If the momentum continues we may well see ‘Leave’ ahead in most polls by the day of the referendum next Thursday. If that is the case, we would expect GBP/USD to be trading below the 1.4000 level as investors’ fears escalate.
BOJ In July – Fresh Easing Is In The Cards
USD/JPY took a deep dive to 104 and below on the lack of action from the Bank of Japan. This may well change next month, with fiscal and monetary stimulus in play.
GBP/USD Suffers 3 Brexit Blows – Hovers Over Low Support
The British pound continues suffering and finally broke down below the 1.41 handle. It now faces strong support, and not at the round level.
Projected Levels For Major FX Pairs In 3M Under Bremain/Brexit Scenarios
A Brexit will deal a blow to market risk sentiment and support the safe-havens JPY and CHF, with the former likely to outperform the latter. Both may lag behind the USD over the longer-term, especially if there is further central bank action.
AUD/USD Maintains Range After Jobs Report, Fed
The Australian economy gained 17.9K jobs, slightly better than 15K expected, but basically in line with early predictions and not enough to rock the boat too much.
USD/JPY Slides Towards 104 On BOJ, Fed
The Bank of Japan does not like excessive foreign exchange moves, especially when their currency strengthens. So does Japan’s Ministry of Finance. Nevertheless, the markets seem fearless of the Japanese authorities.
Fed: No Hikes Or Still Two Hikes This Year? Opposing Opinions
We covered the dovish Fed and also took 5 dovish points on what the Fed said. Here are two opposing opinions from BNP Pariba and SEB.
What Was Dovish About The Fed In 5 Points
We heard from the Fed: no rate hike and a very cautious tone. The US dollar did not fall too much as it remains the cleanest shirt in the dirty pile and almost all the focus is on the EU Referendum.
EUR/USD Finding A Range Ahead Of The Fed
EUR/USD is off the lows and has found a new range ahead of the all-important decision by the Federal Reserve. The euro is moving by external factors, influenced by the British EU Referendum more than anything else.
USD Into FOMC: Focus On The Long Run ‘Dots’ – Goldman Sachs
If there is a reduction in the long run rate, we see scope for the Dollar to weaken somewhat further today even with Fed Funds futures pricing less than two hikes over the next two-and-a-half years.
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