Roger Nusbaum | TalkMarkets | Page 16
Investment Consultant
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Roger Nusbaum brings 30 years of investment industry experience into his newest role as ETF Strategist at AdvisorShares. For many years the Random Roger blog has focused on portfolio construction, behavioral finance, the need for innovative retirement solutions and ETF thought leadership related ...more

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It’s The FOMC’s World
In the most recent market update I questioned whether current FOMC policies might be enough to stave off recession but just can’t quite seem to move the GDP needle, growth has been far below growth in previous recoveries/expansions.
Moderately Constrained
During the Great Recession ETFs tracking REITs went down much more than the broad equity market. Over the last year and half one of the larger MLP funds is down over 40%. Both niches are valid exposures but those are not bond like returns.
Just In Time For April Fools!
ETFs can be the right tool for many exposures but no investment wrapper can be the best exposure for all things and all times. It is incumbent on the end user to learn the difference.
Wednesday Twofer
I said back in August that I thought a bear market had started and I still believe that to be the case.
Your Strategy Will Sometimes Lag And That’s Ok
Value or growth, buy and hold no matter what, indexing or passive and on and on are all capable of getting the job done.
No, You Don’t Need $20 Million To Retire
Americans are facing serious problems accumulating reasonably sized nest eggs for their retirements.
Hindsight Bias & Incorrect Expectations
If you participate in markets for an extended period then you will be wrong many times in that extended period, there is no avoiding getting some calls wrong.
Avoiding Unnecessary Risks In Firefighting & Investing
The idea of suitable risk is obviously an important part of investing.
Nothing New About Gold
A big part of successfully engaging in markets is revisiting certain principles that although crucial can be forgotten when they are most important.
Taking Ownership Of Your Retirement Outcome
The 4% rule dates back to the 1990’s of course and assumes lower risk yields from the income part of the portfolio that no longer exist; 3-4% money markets, 5% two year treasuries and so on.
AdvisorShares Active ETF Market Share Update – Week Ending 1/29/2016
Assets in actively managed ETFs increased by $713 million, or 3%, to $23.917 billion. There were no new funds last week, leaving the overall count at 137.
Crude Oil Is Not Going Out Of Business
Crude oil has of course gone on a wild ride for more than a year and lately, as its volatility has been increasing, the correlation to equities has also increased.
Bear Market Confirmed?
Bear markets tend to start slowly over a period of quite a few months giving people plenty of time to get out before the serious declines start.
AdvisorShares Active ETF Market Share Update – Week Ending 1/15/2016
Assets in actively managed ETFs contracted by $42 million, or 20 basis points, to $22.906 billion. This is actually a strong result given the declines in many segments of the capital markets.
The Most Useless Barron’s Quote Ever
The Barron’s Streetwise column had the single most useless quote I’ve ever read in the magazine (I go back to the late 80’s with it) over the weekend.
Did Anyone Get The License Plate Of That Market?
No one knows what the market will do in 2016 but you can’t go wrong remaining disciplined to the strategy you thought was a good idea when the market and emotions were both a little less volatile.
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