Paul Schatz Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Founder & President of Heritage Capital
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Paul Schatz, Founder, and President of Heritage Capital has a wealth of experience investing in equities, fixed income, options, and futures. While he is best known for his equity index and precious metals models, his technical driven strategies have taken him into other asset classes as well. ... more

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Stocks Bounced And Declined – What Now? Omicron Not To Blame
To date, the S&P 500 is down 4%+ from its all-time high seen last month. The weakness is worse in the mid and small caps.
Bounce Coming, Bottom Not In & Inflation Peaking
Tuesday was an ugly day with almost 90% of the volume trading on the downside after 90% traded that way on Friday. Ugly indeed.
Friday’s Drubbing – Silver Linings & Where Stocks May Bottom
The bears think this is the beginning of the end for the bull market and a collapse lies in wait for 2022. The bulls find the decline “curious” and interestingly timed along with the utter collapse in oil.
A 30-50% Collapse?
The Russell small caps have pulled back 4%+ and there is a chorus of doomsday’ers warning of impending collapse. While they may be right some day, I do not think today is that day.
Inflation Peaking – Sentiment Greedy, Giddy & Euphoric
Sentiment alone will not end a bull market. Just like bull markets do not die of old age, it takes a confluence of factors along the way.
Pullback Coming But Bears Won’t Be Happy
The stock market is going to pull back sooner than later. It should be in the 1-3% range.
No Surprises
The rally since late September has been powerful and relentless.
Stocks Ain’t Done – Lots Of Clowns Pretending To Know – Fed To Finally Taper
Markets that quietly grind higher can become a little boring or make you complacent, especially if you are fully invested. Some refer to them as “creeper” markets because they just, well, creep higher.
New Highs Continue As Forecast – Always A Concern
Friday’s market action wasn’t much to speak of. The stock market looks mildly tired. However, let’s not forget that the Dow Industrials scored an all-time high on Friday. The S&P 500 hit an all-time high on Friday.
Bulls Charging, But…
It has been a nice and fun run for the bulls since the middle of last week. The major stock market indices have all rallied 3-4%. It’s good that they are in sync.
When The Ducks Quack, Feed Them
What a difference a few days makes. We went from hearing all about 1970s style inflation, supply chain woes and challenged Q3 earnings to partying like it’s 1999, all in one week.
Bulls Roar Back, Who Knew? New Highs On Track For Q4
Thursday was a good day for the markets, at least price-wise. The major stock market indices were all up at least 1%.
EC Bulls Need To Step Up – Vital Canary Under Pressure
The market certainly isn’t behaving like the Fed is going to cut back. Yes, inflation is playing a role, but assets are not in sync. That’s not bad nor good. It’s just is what it is.
Bulls Thwart Bears To Finish In The Green – New Highs Still The Call
The stock market finally saw an intra-day reversal from a moderate down first hour to closing in the green in Wednesday.
Lots Of Investors Negative But Was It The Low?
Let’s take stock of where the markets are right now. As you know, my message has been consistent and crystal clear. The stock market has been in pullback mode since early September with the first low on September 20.
October Not The Bullish Month Many Believe – All-Time Highs Still Coming
Stocks did not end the month of September nor Q3 well. Early strength weakened and the bears pounced into the close. However, that setup leads to a reliably bullish setup from a trend only is active at month and quarter-end.
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