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Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia

Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ... more

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Russell 2000’s Mini-Breakout Needs Confirmation From S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100
Monday, August 8, 2022 5:47 AM EDT
A section of markets is behaving as if July’s job gains are sustainable, and the US economy is not on the verge of falling apart. The Russell 2000 has scored some technical wins, but the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are bound by crucial resistance.
In this article: IWM, NDX, SPX
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CoT: Looking At The Future Thru The Recent Past
Sunday, August 7, 2022 2:05 AM EDT
Bulls did manage some important technical wins. Last week, they rallied the Russell 2000 through a declining trend line from last November when the index peaked at 2459. This week, 1900 was won, closing the week at 1922.
In this article: FXE, DBO, GLD, IEF, IVV, IWM, SPY, TLT, VOO, NDX, SPX, VIX
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Looking Into The Future Through Futures, What Hedge Funds Buy
Sunday, July 31, 2022 1:43 AM EDT
Once again, it is likely to be a case of markets leading the Fed – this time, it will be to the downside.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, DBO, GLD, IEF, IVV, IWM, SPY, TLT, UUP, VOO, NDX, SPX, VIX Also: META, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT
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Big Week For Tech Earnings; Ahead Of This, Nasdaq 100 Acts Strong, With Weakness Brewing Friday
Monday, July 25, 2022 5:50 AM EDT
The Nasdaq 100 filled the gap but kept rallying, only to see some selling on Friday. Tech’s relatively better performance, slightly, comes ahead of June-quarter results this week from the leading tech outfits.
In this article: QQEW, QQQ, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, META, NDX, TSLA, IWM, SPY
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CoT Report - Peeking At Futures, Big Buys
Sunday, July 24, 2022 1:45 AM EDT
Next week, tech heavy hitters will report their June quarter. For market cap-weighted indices like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, these results will matter a lot.
In this article: FXE, DBO, GLD, IEF, IWM, TLT, UDN, UUP, NDX, VIX
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Encouraging Signs For Beat-Up Equity Bulls In Latter Sessions Last Week
Monday, July 18, 2022 3:44 AM EDT
US stocks in general sold off last week, but the lows of Wednesday and Thursday were bought, with Friday’s rally the icing on the cake. This took place amidst June’s red-hot CPI report and disappointing earnings from JPM.
In this article: JPM, MS Also: IWM, SPY, VIX
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CoT Report - Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
Sunday, July 17, 2022 2:35 AM EDT
Non-commercials, who are now sitting on the highest net shorts since June 2020, can become a catalyst for a rally as they cover. Perhaps tellingly, VIX was unable to rally this week even though the S&P 500 ended in the red.
In this article: JPM, FXE, DBO, GLD, IEF, IWM, TLT, UUP, NDX, SPX, VIX
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Aggressive Rate-Hike Expectations Subject To Change Should Inflation Show Signs Of Stability
Monday, July 11, 2022 2:54 AM EDT
The Fed is using both conventional and unconventional tools to deal with surging inflation. This is bound to impact economic activity, which is already showing signs of deceleration. Inflation could be the next shoe to drop.
In this article: SPX
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Peek Into The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positions - Latest CoT Report
Sunday, July 10, 2022 2:40 AM EDT
It is probable that flows begin to improve in the sessions/weeks ahead. Dips in the S&P 500 were consistently bought later last week and early this week.
In this article: FXE, DBO, IVV, IWM, OIL, SPY, TLT, UUP, VOO, NDX, VIX
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Corporate Bond Issuance Continues To Soften, Can Potentially Impact Buybacks In Coming Quarters
Thursday, July 7, 2022 7:00 AM EDT
Corporate bond issuance is on pace to decline 14.3 percent this year. This comes at a time when corporations have been aggressively buying back shares.
In this article: HYG
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Managements Have Opportunity To Use 2Q Earnings Season As Kitchen-Sink Quarter
Tuesday, July 5, 2022 1:32 AM EDT
Next week, the 2Q earnings season begins in earnest. Equities took a big hit in the first half. The sell-side is yet to bring out scissors as relates to 2022/2023 earnings estimates.
In this article: C, JPM, WFC
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Futures Positions Of Noncommercials, Large Specs' Net Short - CoT Report
Sunday, July 3, 2022 2:40 AM EDT
In perhaps a telling sign for the sessions to come, both VIX and the S&P 500 were down this week. In all probability, VIX wants to go lower.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IEF, IVV, IWM, OIL, SPY, TLT, VOO, NDX, SPX, VIX
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Equity Bulls Put Foot Down At Or Near Support
Monday, June 27, 2022 4:30 AM EDT
After a slight breach of support in the week before, both small- and large-cap bulls put their foot down last week. This came after weeks of selling pressure. There is more room to run. Non-commercials are aggressively short and can unwillingly help.
In this article: QQQ, IWM, SPX
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Looking At The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
Sunday, June 26, 2022 2:30 AM EDT
Non-commercials are now the most net short in two years. In the right circumstances, this could end up helping the longs through short squeeze.
In this article: BNO, FXE, GLD, IWM, TLT, USO, UUP, XLU, XLY, NDX, VIX
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In Q1, S&P 500 Companies Spent Record Amounts In Buybacks When Prices Were Falling
Thursday, June 23, 2022 4:00 AM EDT
A new high was established in S&P 500 buybacks in Q1. Unlike most of the time in the past, shares were bought at lower prices as the S&P 500 sold off during the quarter.
In this article: SPX
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S&P 500, Russell 2000 Suffer Slight Breach Of Support, VIX Flashes Signs Of Fatigue
Tuesday, June 21, 2022 11:00 AM EDT
With a couple of tough weeks, both large- and small-caps last week suffered a slight breach of support, but not decisively just yet. Concurrently, VIX is flashing signs of fatigue.
In this article: IWM, VIX Also: SPX
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