Paban Pandey | TalkMarkets | Page 24

Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more
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Household Income Boosted By Stimulus Checks, Job Openings Hitting New Highs
Thursday, June 10, 2021 3:54 AM EDT
Job openings are at record highs. If past is prelude, this leads to job creation. This time around, thanks to stimulus money, Americans do not seem desperate for jobs, unless wages rise enough to tempt them back into the labor force.
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Hooked On Monetary Morphine, Large-Caps Are Beginning To Wish For Softer Data
Monday, June 7, 2021 7:31 AM EDT
The Fed is committed to its current pace of asset accumulation. But at some point, tapering will happen. The question is, will markets suffer from withdrawal symptoms?
In this article: SPX
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CoT This Week: First June Look At What Hedge Funds Are Buying
Sunday, June 6, 2021 2:25 AM EDT
They are trying to prepare the markets for a day when the Fed starts unwinding its already-massive balance sheet. Meanwhile the status quo remains, which is volatility bulls’ inability to hold the rallies.
In this article: GLD, IVV, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: IEF, IWM, OIL, NDX
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After 4 Up Weeks, Gold At Crucial Juncture – Pause Likely Before $1,920s Get Taken Out
Tuesday, June 1, 2021 4:50 AM EDT
Gold has rallied for four straight weeks – up more than 14 percent from early March. Last week, the metal just about tested crucial resistance at $1,920s.
In this article: GLD
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This Week's Peek At What Noncommercials Are Buying, CoT
Sunday, May 30, 2021 3:03 AM EDT
The question is, when would the markets begin to seriously worry about tapering?
In this article: GLD, IVV, IWM, SPY, VOO, NDX, VIX Also: FXE, OIL, TLT
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VIX Unable To Hold Rallies, But At Lower Bound Of Dual Trend-Line Support
Monday, May 24, 2021 3:26 AM EDT
Volatility bulls have not been able to sustain rallies. Amidst this, non-commercials have been quietly reducing net shorts in VIX futures. If the past is any guide, VIX does not peak until these traders go net long or get close.
In this article: VIX Also: QQQ, SPY, NDX, SPX
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Commitment Of Traders: Weekly Peek At Futures, Hedge Fund Buying
Sunday, May 23, 2021 2:50 AM EDT
Non-commercials have been quietly reducing their net shorts, which are currently at a 48-week low. The short-covering has not yet resulted in meaningful upward pressure on VIX.
In this article: IVV, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: FXE, OIL, TLT
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Mar ’20 Trend Line Breached Intra-Week Last Week But Saved By Close, Matter Of Time Before S&P 500 Joins Nasdaq 100
Monday, May 17, 2021 5:14 AM EDT
Last week, equity bulls stepped up in time to save a rising 14-month trend line on the S&P 500.
In this article: QQQ, NDX, SPX, DJI
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This Week's CoT: Futures And What Hedge Funds Are Buying
Sunday, May 16, 2021 3:00 AM EDT
Right here and now, Jerome Powell and the team need not worry. Buy-the-dip mentality is intact.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IWM, OIL, SPY, TLT, UDN, UUP, VIX
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Yellen Dip Bought, Bulls Buoyed By Fed’s Focus On Labor Market
Monday, May 10, 2021 3:29 AM EDT
Equity bulls used the Yellen dip last Tuesday as an opportunity to add to risk. The Fed is making sure liquidity remains plentiful, and the short end of the yield curve is cooperative. On Friday the VIX breached short-term trend line support.
In this article: IWM, VIX, SPTL, QQQ, SPY Also: NDX, SPX
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CoT This Week: Futures And What Hedge Funds Are Buying
Sunday, May 9, 2021 3:03 AM EDT
The prevailing perception is that a rising rate environment is not good for tech stocks...Bulls may have something to work with here.
In this article: IAU, GLD, IVV, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: IEF, IWM, TLT, USO
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With Fed Assets And US Stocks In Lockstep, Yellen Suggests Fed Behind The Curve
Friday, May 7, 2021 5:11 AM EDT
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pretty much implied on Tuesday that the Fed is behind the curve, although she tried to walk back her comments later.
In this article: AMZN, GOOG, META, AAPL, MSFT, TSLA
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Stocks Unable To Respond To Earnings Results From Top-6,Continued Stimulus And A Red Hot US Economy
Monday, May 3, 2021 3:52 AM EDT
Last week’s excellent earnings results from five of the top six US companies were unable to lift equities, which had rallied big into the reporting season. With major equity indices extended on several timeframes, weakness could be brewing.
In this article: AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, TSLA, SPY, NDX, META, GOOGL
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This Week's CoT - Futures, Hedge Fund Buying
Sunday, May 2, 2021 3:00 AM EDT
The streak of positive flows into US-based equity funds stopped at 11 weeks during which $107.6 billion was gained; in the week to Wednesday, $3.1 billion was withdrawn.
In this article: GLD, IVV, OIL, SPY, VOO, VIX, NDX Also: FXE, IWM, TLT, UUP
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Dynamics Between Household Formation, Home Sales And Prices, And Consumer Inflation
Thursday, April 29, 2021 3:36 AM EDT
Household formation has picked up speed, as have sales of homes, putting downward pressure on the supply of homes and upward pressure on prices. Prices are appreciating seven-eight times the rate of consumer inflation, hence not sustainable.
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With Outsize Influence On S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100, Top Six Get Ready To Report
Monday, April 26, 2021 3:36 AM EDT
With subtle signs of distribution hitting major equity indices in recent sessions, results from the top six US companies – all tech – could not have come at a more important juncture.
In this article: QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, SPY, META, VIX, VXV Also: DHI, KMB, KO, OC, PG, WM, AMZN, GOOGL
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