Michael J. Kramer Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Founder/CEO at Mott Capital Management, LLC
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Michael Kramer is the Founder of Mott Capital Management. He is also a financial writer for websites such as Investopedia, Seeking Alpha and the Monster Stock Market Commentary providing stock and market analysis. He has over 20 years of industry experience as an analyst, trader, and an ... more

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8 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week Of August 8, 2022 Edition
Stocks traded flat on Friday, dropping by only 16 bps. It could have been worse if not for a push higher in the final hour of trading. Stocks initially fell sharply following the stronger-than-expected jobs report and wage growth.
Stocks Rip Higher On August 3, But Nearing Its Peak
Stocks continue to rally today, as short-covering continued with the S&P 500 up another 1.7%. The most shorted stocks are outperforming by a wide margin.
Stocks Stall On August 1, As Stagflation Appears To Have Finally Arrived
Today financial conditions tightened some, with the IEF/LQD ratio moving up by 45 bps.
8 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Aug. 1
Stocks rose sharply again on Friday. The rally probably isn’t over yet, especially since we have seen a significant inflow of liquidity in the last two weeks. Until we see some financial condition tightening, markets may continue to rise.
The Mechanical Bull Rally Lives
The S&P 500 rally killed the Head And Shoulders pattern, and when H&S patterns get killed, they become continuation patterns, which is what happened today.
7 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of July 24
It will be a hectic week for stocks, with an FOMC meeting and all of the mega-cap stocks reporting results. The market seems overly complacent at this point, with the VIX index trading at 23 and the VVIX index at 84.5.
Stocks Rise Again On July 21 As Liquidity Wave Nears Its End
The VIX continues to move lower. It is moving closer to that uptrend, that has been working for the VIX since November.
Stocks Rise Again On July 20, 2022, As Complacency Builds
Option flows have been very bearish the past two days, based on negative delta flows that suggest put buying and calling selling. But the VIX movements have been muted and have not reflected this negative option flow.
Stocks Dump Hard After Morning Rally Attempt Fails On July 18
Stocks had an exciting day, starting higher and finishing lower. The S&P 500 was up around 1% to start the day and finished the day lower by 85 bps.
9 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of July 11
The VIX may be the key to watch this week. The index is back to its recent lows and is in the same spot it was in heading into the CPI report last month. On June 9, the VIX started spiking as traders started hedging positions going into the report.
Stocks May Plunge Following June Jobs Data
Stocks finished the day higher, with the S&P 500 rising 1.5%. The equity market rallied due to a move lower in the VIX and implied volatility.
Rates And The Dollar Rocket Higher On July 6
Since the beginning of the year, the S&P 500 has moved opposite the dollar index. At least for the past couple of days, that relationship has broken down.
Stocks Dump Then Jump On July 5 As Recession Fears Rise
The S&P 500 continues to struggle at 3,830, and we will have to see if the index can gap higher tomorrow, to break that resistance level.
9 Monster Stock Market Predictions – Week Of July 5
The most significant headwind will come on Wednesday afternoon when the FOMC minutes for the June meeting are released.
8 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of June 27
Stocks had a solid finish to the week, with the S&P 500 rising by 3% on Friday. There is probably more room for the market to increase. I had been waiting to see what happened with the index at 3,815, but the market blew right through that level.
Stocks Rise On June 23 As Recession Worries Worsen
At this point, the movement we have seen in the market appears to resemble what we saw following the May options expiration, with a lot of churning.
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