James Picerno | TalkMarkets | Page 160
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator
James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ...more

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Paring The Leaders; ETF Performance Review: Major Asset Classes - June 15, 2015
Ten of the 14 ETFs that track the major asset classes have lost ground over the past 250 trading days. One thing that hasn’t changed: the deeply bearish trend for commodities in broad terms.
U.S. Industrial Production: May 2015 Preview
U.S. industrial production is expected to increase 0.1% in tomorrow’s May report vs. the previous month. The average prediction represents a modest rebound from April’s 0.3% decline.
U.S. Jobless Claims Continue To Project Growth
Should we continue to consider the weekly jobless claims data as one of the more “reliable” leading indicator of the US business cycle?
US Retail Spending Rises A Solid 1.2% In May
Retail sales revived last month, rising 1.2% in May, according to this morning’s monthly report from the US Census Bureau. The monthly advance represents a substantial improvement over April’s sluggish 0.2% increase.
The Return Of The Bond Vigilantes
Keeping rates moving higher is increasingly a data-dependent issue. Disappointing numbers on the macro front could reverse the renewed influence of the bond vigilantes in a heartbeat.
U.S. Retail Sales: May 2015 Preview
U.S. retail sales are expected to increase 0.5% in tomorrow’s May report vs. the previous month, according to The Capital Spectator’s average point forecast for several econometric estimates.
Managing Expectations Down - 6/10/15
Vanguard founder John Bogle tells Benzinga that he expects a long-term nominal return on the US stock market of roughly 7.0% a year, based on a current dividend yield of around 2.0 percent plus expected earnings growth of 5.0%.
Low Recession Risk Via Fed’s Labor Market Index For May
The econometric evidence continues to mount that May wasn’t the start of a new recession in the US.
Pondering A Rate Hike For The US… Again
We’ve seen a number of false dawns with anticipating rate hikes in recent years, but is the jig finally up this time?
US Payrolls In May Deliver A Hefty Upside Suprise
The annual pace of growth ticked up in today’s report, but just barely. Nonetheless, the key point is that payrolls increased just slightly above the 2.5% rate in May vs. the year-earlier level.
Is The Outlook Improving For A US Economic Rebound In Q2?
The prospects for stronger economic growth in the second-quarter remain in flux, but the latest numbers move the dial a bit deeper into positive territory.
U.S. Nonfarm Private Payrolls: May 2015 Preview
Private nonfarm payrolls in the US are projected to increase by 178,000 (seasonally adjusted) in tomorrow’s update for May from the Labor Department.
Daily Estimates Of Recession Risk Using Market Signals
Recession talk is fast and loose these days, but a fair amount of the chattering on this topic is anecdotal.
ADP: US Payrolls Rise A Solid 201k In May
US companies added 201,000 to payrolls in May, according to the ADP National Employment Report. The gain represents a solid improvement over April’s 165,000 advance.
Risk Premia Forecasts, 3 June 2015
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) inched higher in May, rising for the first time in four months. GMI is projected to earn an annualized 3.9% over the “risk-free” rate in the long term.
ADP Employment Report: May 2015 Preview
Private nonfarm payrolls in the U.S. are projected to increase by 167,000 (seasonally adjusted) in May's update of the ADP Employment Report, based on The Capital Spectator’s median point forecast for several econometric estimates.
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