The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other ...
more The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other prominent financial websites, Seekingalpha.com (as Gary A) and at Businessinsider.com. I muckrake the banking system and found premeditated causes for the housing bubble and subsequent meltdown. I am married with 4 grown children.
Specialties: Impacts of politics on the economy, interpreting economists, writing about the negative impact of some aspects of globalization and pros and cons of the new normal. I don't like tariff wars. Email bgamall at gmail
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“Smart Money” Positioning Is Supportive Of Bonds
Of course. The banks always scare the sheeple to sell their bonds, which are in massive demand.
Household Net Worth - The "Real" Story
Certainly this is all like GDP, it appears to be great. But we know home ownership for the middle class is down. We know rural America is being screwed. We know that main street is not the beneficiary of this. The wealth has shifted upward, which is why we have the public clamoring for fruitcakes like Trump. We get what we deserve as a nation.
Negative Interest Rate Mutiny In Germany, Japan
Just another reason that Helicopter Money is crucial for the raising of interest rates and for general prosperity. They both must be done to allow rising rates: www.talkmarkets.com/.../responsibly-expand-the-monetary-base-before-it-is-too-late
FedSpeak: Lost In Translation
Danielle shares the frustration of us all. Talking like you are going to raise rates when you aren't is policy. It is amazing how markets believe something that isn't going to happen for so long. You can fool me 10 times if you are Wall Street listening to the Fed. Or maybe even 100 times.
Truth is, the world is descending into negativity. That isn't good. They could raise rates if they did real helicopter money first. They were the ones that pushed money to the top, and helicopter money could level that out and revitalize main street. They could do it and once they did, they could raise rates and reduce the balance sheet.
But it has to be real helicopter money, no bonds no fuss and no excess debt upon the government. We all should know by now that the Fed is not a government agency and we are not its constituency. (See Lewis VS US Government 1982)
But at some point, the Fed will help the banks by helping main street. Even Goldman Sachs can figure that out, I think. So, helicopter money now, and then raise rates and reduce that balance sheet: www.talkmarkets.com/.../responsibly-expand-the-monetary-base-before-it-is-too-late
Of course, you know that bonds as collateral for derivatives clearing houses could stand in the way of this great plan I have, or should I say, Eric Lonergan has. That massive demand for long bonds has to be cooled, somehow.
Gold And The Keynesian Death Spiral
The issue for me is that interest rates are likely lowered due to demand for bonds, rather than because of artificial action. In the Eurozone appears to be both. But clearly, bonds are in demand as collateral for loans and derivatives. Bonds are therefore, in a perverse sense, drivers of the economy. I wouldn't be too sure that government spending is up. It seems as if we have hit a patch of austerity.
So, Keynes may not even apply to the current situation. I do agree that higher interest rates above zero would spur bank lending. Keynesians don't understand that. Monetarists generally do but the Fed monetarists are do nothing.
Status Queasy
While nobody likes her, Trump may be certifiably insane. Having offended almost everyone except my group, he can't win. It is corruption versus a hater. Not much of a choice, but we better not choose the hater.
The Coming Housing Boom: Millennials In Exile
I just don't think most millennials make enough to drive the housing market. I think optimism about millennials can only be found regarding what they dream about, not what they can attain. I hope I am wrong.
The Mystery Of The San Francisco Sublease
Las Vegas has so many homes for rent and so many empty houses, that only the high priced houses are commanding higher prices.
ECB QE Is Uneven Benefiting Core More Than Periphery
Well, the Eurozone's prospects remain dim unless Draghi has a plan, Valuewalk: www.talkmarkets.com/.../draghi-and-germany-have-a-secret-plan-to-save-the-eurozone It almost seems as though shafting the periphery, watching German long bonds go down to zero in yield, will ultimately see the funding of the core nations by investors themselves!
Why The "Underground" Economy Is Growing
So, John, what percentage of the economy is now underground? I think it has never been more than 10 percent or less in the US. I wonder what caused the increase you write about and if it could be measured?