Bill Conerly | TalkMarkets | Page 4
Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!
Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ...more

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Consumer Forecast 2023-2024: Growth Now, Recession Later
By 2024, consumers will have less money to spend from current earnings and no excess savings left over, so expect a harsh downturn in discretionary expenditures.
The Economics Tavern For Business Leaders Focusing On Profit Drivers
Business leaders must understand the economic issues driving their companies’ profits. The concept of an economics tavern can help to tune in to what’s important while filtering out random noise.
Why The Fed’s Next Interest Rate Decision Is Hard
The Federal Reserve’s policy-making committee will meet on January 31-February 1, 2023, and their decision will be tough, more difficult than any of their 2022 choices.
How Population Growth Matters For Business
Business leaders should care about population growth, but it’s not as simple as focusing on the total gain or decline. Population change is tremendously important to business, even though it’s often not newsworthy.
Why The Fed Thinks It Has To Bring Inflation Down Now
The Fed pretty much mirrors professional economics opinions, which have evolved over time, from naïve Keynesian to monetarist to New Keynesian including a strong preference for low inflation.
Fairness And The Tight Labor Market
Many employees may feel unfairly treated, but that doesn’t have to be the case. Good management and sharing facts can avert that sense is mistreatment.
Upside Potential For Housing Market In 2023
The housing market in 2023 will most likely weaken, but some upward potential must be considered, even by those of us who remain pessimistic.
Associations And Trade Shows Will Be Hurt By The Recession
A recession is coming. Associations and independent trade shows will be hit hard, but good association management can ease some of the pain.
Lower Housing Costs Will Not Bring Inflation Down
Inflation optimists are betting that lower housing costs will bring down inflation. They seem to have some arithmetic on their side, but their theory of why inflation rises or falls is fallacious.
Business Growth In An Economic Recession
Every large change in the business environment brings opportunity. Even a recession, which lowers sales for most companies, offers opportunities for a small number of companies to expand.
Employment Statistics Say U.S. Not In Recession
The overall economy is not in a recession yet, and the latest statistics tell that story.
How To Get Employees Back In The Office
Many business leaders struggle to get workers back into the office. Many workers, of course, don’t really want to go there. Providing workers with a benefit, not a threat, can boost productivity.
Interest Rates Going Up Even More In 2023
Expect short-term interest rates to rise above five percent next year, with long-term rates, such as mortgages, even higher.
The Recession Will Begin Late 2023 Or Early 2024
Recession is very likely in America’s future, but it will take time to arrive. Although we often want bad things to be done and over with, a long time to prepare will be valuable to those with foresight.
Non-Residential Construction Forecast: Slowing 2023-2024
Nonresidential construction will suffer in late 2023 and into 2024, with recovery sometime in 2025. The downturn will not be severe but it will be noticeable for almost all parts of the industry.
Housing Forecast: Lower Prices And Less New Construction
Home prices and rents will decline in the next year, on average, though different parts of the country will experience somewhat differing paths. In the aggregate, housing prices will decline for both homeowners and tenants.
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