Bill Conerly

Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!
Contributor's Links: Businomics Blog Conerly Consulting LLC Forbes

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ... more

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Global Economy Forecast: Not As Bad For The U.S. As Headlines Imply
Sunday, September 8, 2019 12:28 PM EDT
The global economy is growing moderately, but that’s a great deal better than news headlines imply. World GDP is likely to expand by 2.8 percent his year, inflation adjusted. That’s down from 3.4 percent two years ago, but still decent growth.
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Politics In Business: Lesson From Soccer For All Companies
Friday, September 6, 2019 4:10 AM EDT
Employers want their workers focused on jobs, not political controversies. And companies want the communities in which they are located to like them, not oppose their politics.
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How Bad Is The U.S. Economy In 2019?
Friday, August 16, 2019 6:20 PM EDT
The United States economy is growing moderately as of August 2019.
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Corporate Strategy In Declining Industries: Acquisitions Seldom Work
Thursday, August 1, 2019 2:30 PM EDT
AT&T’s acquisition of Time Warner illustrates one strategy for a major player in a declining industry: diversify upstream or downstream. But it’s not the only viable approach, nor even the best.
In this article: T
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U.S. Economy Is Stable: The Great Moderation Returns
Saturday, July 20, 2019 10:45 PM EDT
The economy has been extremely stable since the recession ended ten years ago. By historical standards, the volatility of quarter-to-quarter changes in GDP is unusually low. This seems to be a repeat of the Great Moderation.
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Most Interest Rate Forecasts Dropping—But Don’t Be So Sure
Sunday, July 14, 2019 11:52 AM EDT
The interest rate outlook has swung sharply since November 2018, with mainstream expectations now a full percentage point lower than they had been. The 10-year Treasury bond is expected to rise 0.4% over the next two years from the current 2.14%.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AIG American International Group Inc
BAC Bank of America Corporation
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GM General Motors Company
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
NKE Nike Inc.
PG Procter & Gamble Co.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
TWX Time Warner Inc.
VLO Valero Energy Corporation
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TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

Contributor
Forbes
December 2011 - Present (7 years 11 months)
Consultant
Conerly Consulting LLC
April 1996 - Present (23 years 10 months)
Strategic planning and the external business environment.
Cascade Policy Institute
Chairman of the Board
1995 - Present (25 years 1 month)
Senior Vice President & Economist
First Interstate Bank
September 1987 - March 1996 (8 years 8 months)
Senior economist and manager of economics department covering five-state region.
Director of Economic Research
NERCO, Inc.
July 1984 - June 1987 (3 years)

Education

Duke University
Ph.D.,
1974 / 1980
Economics
New College
B.A.
1971 / 1974
Economics

Publications

Businomics Blog
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics blog helps business leaders make more profitable decisions through a better understanding of the economy. Although it occasionally delves into public policy or investments, it's mostly focused on actionable information. When the business cycle turns, the Businomics blog helps business leaders understand how their daily challenges will turn. When new corporate strategy fads emerge, the Businomics blog uses hard-headed economic analysis to determine which parts of the new fad make sense, and which should be ignored.
Businomics: From The Headlines To Your Bottomline
William B. Conerly, Ph.D
William Conerly
Business leaders know that the economy affects their sales, costs and profits. But they often fail to translate economic news into action steps that will protect and grow their profits. The solution is Businomics™: From the Headlines to Your Bottom Line: How to Profit in Any Economic Cycle, which connects the dots between the economic news and business decisions. How vulnerable is your business to recession? Businomics™ explains why some sectors are highly susceptible to downturns, while others are fairly stable—and they are not always the sectors you expect! You may have studied macroeconomics in college, but the course was almost certainly mathematical and focused on policy. Businomics™ attacks the subject from the perspective of a business leader: what you must know to anticipate, prepare for and react to downturns in the economy. The book provides a step-by-step guide to developing an early warning system tailored specifically to your company.
Businomics Free Monthly Newsletter
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics(TM) Newsletter keeps you up to date in a simple graphical format. We'll email you two or three pages of charts once a month, with Bill's comments. Skim the newsletter for two minutes and you're up to date. View a sample and then sign up.