Bill Conerly Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ... more

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What Is Essential Business In A COVID-19 Shelter-In-Place Order?
Nearly half of the country is under shelter-in-place orders.
Economic Forecast Update March 20, 2020 For COVID-19, Coronavirus Impacts
Last week’s economic forecast is out of date, and no one can be sure what the future holds. Because everyone is asking, here are my thoughts on the economic implications of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Rolling Recessions Are The Likely Economic Impact Of New Coronavirus And COVID-19
The path of the disease and its economic consequences are highly uncertain. Most likely, the world will see rolling recessions as the disease spreads to different areas, with economic recovery as the local epidemics die down.
Business Planning For The COVID-19 Coronavirus
Business leaders are asking about the COVID-19 coronavirus’ impacts on the economy and what a company can do to help its employees. They should also be considering business planning for a disaster
Tight Labor Market: Even Worse Based On New Census Projections
Two years ago wrote that the working age population will grow at the slowest pace since the Civil War in the decade of 2020-2030, the outlook is even worse now.
COVID-19 Coronavirus And Complex Supply Chains
Economists tend to downplay the coronavirus as not that big in comparison to the huge global economy. But the mild economic consequences of economists’ back-of-the-envelope analyses likely understate the magnitude of the harm to business activity.
Think Like An Employer To Get That Job
You’re applying for a job, and maybe you even have an interview scheduled. How do you close the deal? Start by thinking like an employer.
Interest Rate Forecast: Remaining Low Throughout 2020
Many forecasters have been expecting interest rates to rise, but we’ll have to wait another year for that to happen. The key issue is economic growth strong enough to push inflation up, or to make the Federal Reserve worry about inflation rising.
Retaining And Recruiting Older Workers: Tight Labor Market Solution
In the increasingly tight labor market, retaining and even recruiting older workers will be a success strategy for many companies.
Water In Abundance, At A Price: Our Grandchildren’s Economy
We are not running out of water. Rather, certain areas, at certain times, face a shortage of water, but it’s a localized, economic problem, solvable by the usual economic solutions: property rights and institutions that enable transfers of assets.
U.S. Population Growth Lowest In 100 Years: Business & Economic Implications
The United States population grew by less than half a percent last year, according to estimates released by the Census Bureau.
What Could Cause A Recession In 2020
A recession is unlikely in 2020, but possible. The economics profession did not predict most past recessions, so the absence of a downturn in current forecasts cannot be too comforting to business leaders planning operations for the upcoming year.
Tight Labor Markets Will Be Top Business Challenge In 2020
The labor markets have been tight for several years, and it’s only going to get worse in 2020.
Economic Forecast 2020-2021: Moderate And Then Improving Growth
The United States economy will look about the same in 2020 as it did in 2019, but will improve in 2021. International trade presents the greatest uncertainty to the economic outlook, and if that clears up, 2020 will be even better.
Senior Living Demand: Strong Demographics Weakened By Strong Health
Recent overbuilding in senior living communities has led to questions about basic demographics. Population trends are important and easily quantified, but the health and lifestyle choices of senior citizens is harder to analyze.
Hiring Slows During The Holidays, But Some Opportunities Remain
The hard data say that December is the slowest month for hiring, but there are still plenty of positions filled despite the holidays.
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