Bill Conerly | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!
Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ...more

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AI And The Economy: Overview Of Job Losses And Gains
The people of the world will benefit from AI, though some people will be hurt. Most of the benefits will accrue to consumers, based on economic theory and research.
Employment Gains Contradict Layoff Headlines - But Just Wait
News headlines announce layoffs at many companies, but the latest employment data from the federal government show a large increase in jobs.
AI And The Economy: What Has Changed?
The economy will change markedly due to ChatGPT and similar models. After years of gradual advances, the latest tools will lead to a huge shift in the economy.
Pricing Dilemma: Surcharge Vs. Price Increase - Which Approach Wins Over Customers?
Surcharge or price increase? When a company needs to cover higher costs, which method is better for customer relations? Transparency must be first priority.
Business Credit Is Tightening: Questions To Ask Your Banker
Business owners should understand where their company stands relative to the bank’s credit standards.
AI For Business Leaders, Especially Skeptics
Key points that business leaders should understand today in order to prepare for tomorrow’s use of AI.
Labor Market Update 2023: Hiring Becomes Easier, But Challenges Remain
Labor has become easier to hire, and employers are reporting, though challenges remain. Easing labor market tightness resulted from more people choosing to work, or at least look for work.
Housing Market Forecast 2023-24: The Myth Of Massive Underbuilding
2023 and 2024 will not be disastrous for housing in the United States, but prices will likely edge down with a lackluster volume of transactions and new construction.
Analyzing Inflation: When To Use Top-Down Or Bottom-Up Approaches
The latest Consumer Price Index report shows that total inflation is dropping. We usually understand inflation better by looking at the aggregate or the individual components.
Why No Recession One Year After Interest Rates Started Up
The Fed began raising interest rates one year ago, on March 17, 2022. There never was good reason to expect a recession so quickly, though there is good reason to expect one to begin late in 2023 or early 2024.
How A Bank Fails: Silicon Valley Bank
It appears that asset-liability mismatch was behind the bank’s problems.
Supply Chain Pressures Easing - Good News For Inflation And Production
Supply chain pressures have eased and will continue to do so. This will help companies produce goods and services to meet buyer demand.
Trigger Points For Recession Contingency Plans
Business contingency plans for recession are valuable, but when should the CEO pull the trigger? At what point will it be time to execute the contingency plan?
Fed Will Keep Raising Interest Rates, Latest Minutes Show
We should expect the Fed to continue pushing up interest rates, probably by another full percentage point from the current 4.5%.
Succession Planning For The High-Turnover Economy
Baby boomers are retiring and younger workers are changing jobs. This turnover in positions means upheaval of small businesses’ ownership and larger companies’ leaders. 
Consumer Forecast 2023-2024: Growth Now, Recession Later
By 2024, consumers will have less money to spend from current earnings and no excess savings left over, so expect a harsh downturn in discretionary expenditures.
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