Arthur Donner Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Economic Consultant

Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ... more

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E The Pandemic Sharply Reduced Canadian Household Formation
The pandemic sharply reduced Canadian household formation in 2020. With immigration projected to rebound, household growth should surge in 2021 and 2022.
E The US Job Market And Economy Are Far From Healthy
Don’t be misled by robust American economic growth numbers. The job market and the economy are far from healthy.
E Canada’s Job Market Recovered A Bit Faster Than America's, But It's Still Not Healthy
Canada’s current jobs and economic recovery has been faster than recoveries from previous economic recessions. Nonetheless, all is still far from well.
E The Fed Assumes A Soft Landing In 2022
We hope the Fed is right.
E Canada's Housing Market Is In Bubble Territory
Affordability problems make the bubble very vulnerable. New mortgage rate qualifications in Canada are also very onerous.
E The Economic Recovery From The Global Pandemic Recession Is Very Uneven
Employment virtually everywhere is still lower that pre pandemic levels. Inflation is also rising in most of the advanced economies, and the inflation spike is clearly tied to unusual bottleneck problems.
E Global Recovery
With the pandemic still raging, the uneven global economic outlook has become even murkier, significantly weakened by low-income countries' limited access to vaccines.
E Canada’s Pandemic Recession Is Far From Over
Canada’s economic recovery was a bit stronger than the American, though in real terms, Canada’s recovery lagged the American.
E 10-Year Yields And Implications
Interest rates have been unusually stable since 2009. Some important global interest rate trends have emerged during the pandemic. Inflation expectations still remain a key determinant of bond yields.
E Canadian Savings Post Pandemic
Despite the steep economic downturn last year, family incomes in Canada have been strongly supported during the Covid crisis. 
E Is Canada’s Booming Housing Market Primed For A Financial Crash
As of the second quarter of 2021, the Canadian housing market is still booming in terms of new construction, high prices, and escalating sales.
E US GDP Projection Q2, 2021
We should expect a massive increase in US GDP in the second quarter of 2021.
E The US Economy Is Nearly Back To Pre-Covid Levels, But Still Far From Normal
There is little doubt that the US economy is bouncing back rapidly from its Covid downturn.
E Some G20 Economies Are Experiencing High Inflation And Unemployment
An overview of the G20 economies shows a wide range of growth and recovery but some are battling inflation and high unemployment, diluting their ability to bounce back.
E The Fed Tries To Cool Inflation Worries - But Will It Work?
For some time now the Fed’s official stance has been that it would tolerate inflation rising moderately above its 2% desired target pace. 
E An Encouraging Perspective On The Surging Canadian Dollar
A strengthening Canadian dollar should not prevent Canada’s economy from continuing on a fairly strong recovery trajectory. 
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