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The IDDA Analysis framework is used to analyze companies and determine which are right for you. There are five steps to the process:

1. Capital Analysis – Your personal risk tolerance.
2. Intentional Analysis – Your unique financial goals and timelines based on your age, health, and lifestyle.
3. Fundamental Analysis – The viability of the asset based on company performance, financial health, and market position.
4. Sentimental Analysis – The current emotions of Wall Street and other market participants.
5. Technical Analysis – Historical price action to identify key psychological levels and market patterns.

Let’s dive into the IDDA analysis to assess Intel’s fundamental, sentimental, and technical outlook.

Intel Video Overview

IDDA Point 1 & 2 – Capital & Intentional

The capital and intentional analysis need to be conducted by you.

• Select your assets in alignment with your financial goals.
• Listen to your intuition about each asset, but remember to invest based on your own values, not just because of recommendations from others.

IDDA Point 3 – Fundamental

Intel Names Lip-Bu Tan as New CEO

Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) announced that Lip-Bu Tan has been appointed as its new CEO, aiming to lead the company through a challenging period. The news boosted investor confidence, reflecting optimism about Tan’s potential impact on the company’s future.

Who Is Lip-Bu Tan?

• Tan was the former CEO of Cadence Design Systems (Nasdaq: CDNS), where he led a successful turnaround and drove over a decade of growth.
• He served on Intel’s board from 2022 to 2024 but resigned after disagreements with former CEO Pat Gelsinger over Intel’s strategy.
• Tan also has experience in venture capital, with successful investments including:
  • Annapurna Labs (acquired by Amazon for $370 million)
  • Nuvia (acquired by Qualcomm for $1.4 billion)

Intel’s Struggles and Challenges

Tan’s appointment comes at a critical time for Intel:

• Intel has faced declining sales and high cash burn from its Foundry business.
• Intel’s revenue dropped 2% to $53 billion in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of decline.
• The Foundry business reported a $13.4 billion loss in 2024 — nearly double the $7 billion loss from 2023.
• Intel’s market cap is down to $89.5 billion.

Tan’s Plan

Tan outlined a three-part strategy to fix Intel’s problems:

1. Strengthen areas where Intel already has momentum.
2. Take calculated risks to catch up where the company is behind.
3. Speed up progress in areas where Intel is lagging.

IDDA Point 4 – Sentimental

Overall Market Sentiment for INTC is neutral 

Bullish Outlook

 Market Leadership: Intel remains one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world and holds leading market share positions in the PC and server processor markets.

Strong Product Design: Intel’s Products business segment remains innovative and profitable. Shifting more production to Taiwan Semiconductor could help Intel recover market share losses.

 Foundry Potential: Intel Foundry is one of only three companies capable of building leading-edge processors. Additional financial support like partnerships could help it emerge as a competitive manufacturer in the future.

Bearish Outlook

 Manufacturing Risks: There’s no guarantee that Intel can deliver on its manufacturing goals.

 Competitive Pressure: Even if Intel improves its manufacturing, 

 remains a credible competitor in the x86 chip space, and 

-based chips pose a greater threat than in the past.

 AI Market Weakness: 

 GPUs dominate the AI accelerator market. Intel is unlikely to make significant progress in this segment anytime soon.

IDDA Point 5 – Technical

Chart Setup

 Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trading below the cloud – a bearish signal indicating downward pressure.

 Weak Tenkan-Kijun Cross: The conversion line crossed above the baseline but both lines are now trending flat, suggesting consolidation rather than strong momentum.

 RSI: Currently at 51.02 – showing upward momentum but still in neutral territory.

 Potential Double Bottom Pattern: A possible reversal pattern is forming, which could support a short-term rebound if confirmed.

For those considering adding Intel to their portfolio, here are some suggested Buy Limit entry points:

 $19.08 – (High Risk)

 $15.35 – (Moderate Risk)

 $12.39 – (Low Risk)

• Bearish signals remain, but upward momentum and strong support levels could lead to a short-term rebound.

Here are the Invest Diva ‘Confidence Compass’ questions to ask yourself before buying at each level:

1. If I buy at this price and the price drops by another 50%, how would I feel? Would I panic, or would I buy more to dollar-cost average at lower prices? (hint: this question also reveals your CONFIDENCE in the asset you’re planning to invest in). 

2. If I don’t buy at this price and the stock suddenly turns around and starts going up again, will I beat myself up for not having bought at this level?

Remember: Investing is personal, and what is right for me might not be right for you. Always do your own due diligence. You should ONLY invest based on your own risk tolerance and your timeframe for reaching your portfolio goals

(Click on image to enlarge)

Overall IDDA

Intel’s appointment of Lip-Bu Tan as CEO signals a potential strategic shift. Tan’s experience at Cadence Design Systems and deep industry knowledge boost investor confidence, but Intel faces major challenges, including weak profit margins, mounting losses from the Foundry business, and falling behind in AI chips. 

While Tan’s focus on strengthening core business areas and improving efficiency could drive long-term growth, execution remains key. For now, Intel’s valuation looks attractive, but the stock remains a Hold until more clarity emerges on Tan’s strategy.

 ️Recommendation: Hold

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