Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF – ETHE Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF – ETHE (1D) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Function: Major Trend
Mode: Motive
Structure: Impulse
Position: Wave [iii]
Direction: Decline
Details:
Wave [iii] is currently halfway completed, and the necessary Fibonacci levels for wave (iii) of [iii] have been satisfied.
This indicates that the next move will be the final leg of the wave [iii] five-wave decline.
Wave (iv) has now begun and could complete by next week, leading to the start of wave (v).
Invalidation Level: $22.00
Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF – ETHE (4H) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Hourly Chart
Function: Major trend (Minor degree, grey)
Mode: Motive
Structure: Impulse
Position: Wave (iv) orange
Direction: Decline
Details:
Wave (iv) correction has started, and the ETF is expected to move sideways temporarily, targeting the previous fourth wave of a lower degree.
The wave (iv) correction is likely to be shallow, especially compared to the retracement during wave (ii).
If the price moves above $14.97, it would invalidate the current outlook and imply that wave (iv) is already underway.
At the moment, the market is progressing through wave b of (iv).
Invalidation Level: $22.00
Conclusion
The summary of the Elliott Wave analysis is:
ETHE has now entered wave (iv) – providing a setup opportunity for short positions.
The wave (v) decline is anticipated to result in a minimum price change of $5.
Although the count remains valid up to $22.00, a reassessment may be needed if the price reaches this level.
This is a critical time to strategize trades for the next impulsive move.
Traders must follow Elliott Wave rules closely and monitor invalidation levels to avoid preventable losses.
Technical Analyst: Simon Brooks
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