US, Euro Area And China GDP Over The Pandemic And Recovery

Following up on the last post, here is a graph of three major economies.

Figure 1: Real GDP for the US (blue), for Euro area (tan), for China (green), and GDO for the US (light blue), all in logs, 2019Q4=0. NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates for the United States shaded gray. Source: BEA, Eurostat, via FRED, China NBS, NBER, and author’s calculations.

At current exchange rates, these three economies account for about 60% of the world GDP (China is about 20%, US about 25%).

The sharp drop in Chinese GDP in Q2 highlights the threat to global economic output posed by the Chinese government’s current approach to dealing with the pandemic.


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