| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of September 23 | |||
| September 23 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August | -0.20 | -0.34 | |
| PMI Manufacturing - Flash | 48.4 | 47.9 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 55.0 | 54.6 | |
| September 24 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - July | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 0.1% | 0.6 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 5.9 | 6.5 | |
| FHFA Home Price Index - July | 0.2% | -0.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence - September | 102.0 | 103.3 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -15.0 | -19.0 | |
| September 25 | |||
| New Home Sales - August | 700K | 739.0 | |
| September 26 | |||
| Durable Goods Orders - August | -2.9% | 9.8 | |
| GDP - Q2 (f) | 3.0% | 3.0 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - Aug | 73.2 | 70.2 | |
| September 27 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - August | -$100.0B | -102.7 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - August (a) | 0.2% | 0.2 | |
| Personal Income - August | 0.4% | 0.3 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r) | |||
| Week of September 30 | |||
| September 30 | |||
| Chicago PMI - September | 46.1% | 46.1 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -10 | -9.7 | |
| October 1 | |||
| ISM (Mfg) - Sept | 47.5 | 47.2 | |
| Construction Spending - August | 0.0% | -0.3 | |
| JOLTS - August | 7650K | 7.673 | |
| Auto Sales - September | 15.2M | 15.1 | |
| Car Sales | 2.9 | 2.9 | |
| Truck Sales | 12.3 | 12.3 | |
| October 2 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - September | 135K | 99 | |
| October 3 | |||
| ISM Services - September | 52.0 | 51.5 | |
| Factory Orders - August | -1.1% | 5.0 | |
| Durable Goods Orders | -2.9 | 9.8 | |
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.6 | 0.8 | |
| PMI Manufacturing Index | |||
| October 4 | |||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - September | 153K | 142 | |
| Private | 135 | 118 | |
| Manufacturing | 5 | -24 | |
| Unemployment | 4.2% | 4.2 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.3HR | 34.3 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | 0.4 | |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 16 & 23
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept 9 & 16
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 5 & 12




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