Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept 9 & 16

 
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.    
  Forecast Prior Observation  
Week of September 9      
September 9      
Wholesale Inventories - July 0.3% 0.3  
Consumer Credit - July $12.0B 8.9  
       
September 10      
NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - August 93.7 93.7  
       
September 11      
Consumer Price Index - August 0.2% 0.2  
Core CPI 0.2 0.2  
       
September 12      
Producer Price Index - August 0.2 0.1  
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) 0.3% 0.3  
       
Treasury Budget - August -$252.0B -243.7  
       
September 13      
Export Prices -  August -0.1% 0.7  
Import Prices 0.0 0.1  
Import Prices, ex-Petroleum 0.2 0.2  
       
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (p) 68.5 67.9  
       
Week of September 16      
September 16      
New York Fed Manufacturing Index -3.7 -4.7  
       
September 17      
Retail Sales - August 0.3% 1.0  
Retail Sales, ex Autos 0.5 0.4  
Retail Sales, Autos      
Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas 0.5 0.4  
Retail Sales, Gas      
       
Industrial Production - August 0.1 -0.6  
Capacity Utilization   77.8  
Manufacturing -0.2 -0.3  
       
Business Inventories - July 0.4% 0.3  
NAHB Index   39  
       
September 18      
Housing Starts - August 1.235M 1.238  
Building Permits 1.365 1.396  
       
FOMC      
  5.125% 5.375  
September 19      
Initial Unemployment Claims      
Philadelphia Fed Survey 2.7 -7.0  
Current Account - Q2 -$262.0B -237.6  
Leading Indicators  -0.3% -0.6  
Existing Home Sales - August 3.825K 3.950  

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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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