Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 16 & 23
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data | |||
| Forecast | Prior | ||
| Observation | |||
Week of September 16 |
|||
| September 16 | |||
| New York Fed Manufacturing Index | -3.7 | -4.7 | |
| September 17 | |||
| Retail Sales - August | 0.3% | 1.0 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
| Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
| Retail Sales, Gas | |||
| Industrial Production - August | 0.1% | -0.6 | |
| Capacity Utilization | 77.8 | 77.8 | |
| Manufacturing | -0.2 | -0.3 | |
| Business Inventories - July | 0.4% | 0.3 | |
| NAHB Index | 39 | 39 | |
| September 18 | |||
| Housing Starts - August | 1.235M | 1.238 | |
| Building Permits | 1.365 | 1.396 | |
| FMOC | 5.125 |
5.375 | |
| September 19 | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | 2.7 | -7.0 | |
| Current Account - Q2 | -$262.0B | -237.6 | |
| Leading Indicators | -0.3% | -0.6 | |
| Existing Home Sales - August | 3.825K | 3.950 | |
Week of September 23 |
|||
| September 23 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August | -0.20 | -0.34 | |
| PMI Manufacturing - Flash | 48.4 | 47.9 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 55.0 | 54.6 | |
| September 24 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - July | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 0.1 | 0.6 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 5.9 | 6.5 | |
| FHFA Home Price Index - July | 0.2% | -0.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence - September | 102.0 | 103.3 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -15.0 | -19.0 | |
| September 25 | |||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -14.1 | -9.7 | |
| New Home Sales - August | 700K | 739.0 | |
| September 26 | |||
| Durable Goods Orders - August | -2.9 | 9.8 | |
| GDP - Q2 (f) | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - Aug | 73.2 | 70.2 | |
| September 27 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - August | -$100.0B | -102.7 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - August (a) | 0.2% | 0.2 | |
| Personal Income - August | 0.4% | 0.3 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.3 | 0.5 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept 9 & 16
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 5 & 12
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of July 29 & Aug. 5
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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