Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 28 And Nov. 4
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior | ||
| Observation | |||
| Week of October 28 | |||
| October 28 | |||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -9.0 | -9.0 | |
| October 29 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - September (a) | -94.1 | -94.3 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - September (a) | 0.0% | 0.1 | |
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - August | |||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.3% | 0.0 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 5.2 | 5.9 | |
| Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA | |||
| FHFA House Price Index - August | 0.2% | 0.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence | 99.3 | 98.7 | |
| JOLTS - September | 7.900 | 8.040 | |
| October 30 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - October | 115K | 143 | |
| GDP - Q3 (a) | 3.0% | 3.0 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - September | 72.0 | 70.6 | |
| October 31 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 232K | 227K | |
| Employment Cost Index - Q3 | 1.0% | 0.9 | |
| Employment Cost Index - Y/Y | 4.1 | 4.1 | |
| Personal Income - September | 0.4% | 0.2 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| PCE Price Index | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Core PCE Price Index | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Chicago PMI | 46.1 | 46.6 | |
| November 1 | |||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - October | 140K | 254 | |
| Private | 115 | 223 | |
| Manufacturing | -30 | -7 | |
| Unemployment | 4.1 | 4.1 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.2 | 34.2 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| ISM (Mfg) - October | 47.6 | 47.2 | |
| Auto Sales* - October | 15.7M | 15.1 | |
| Car Sales | 3.0 | 2.9 | |
| Truck Sales | 12.7 | 12.3 | |
| *SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence | |||
| Week of November 4 | |||
| November 4 | |||
| Factory Orders - September | -0.4% | -0.2 | |
| Durable Goods Orders | -1.0 | 0.0 | |
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.2 | -0.5 | |
| November 5 | |||
| International Trade - September | -$71.3B | -70.4 | |
| ISM Services - October | 53.6 | 54.9 | |
| November 7 | |||
| Productivity - Q3 (p) | 2.3% | 2.5 | |
| Unit Labor Costs | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - September | 0.2% | 0.1 | |
| FMOC | 4.625% | 4.875 | |
| Consumer Credit - September | $10.0B | 8.9 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 21 & 28
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 7 & 14
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 30 & Oct. 7
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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