Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 28 And Nov. 4

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior
		Observation
Week of October 28
October 28
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-9.0	-9.0

October 29
International Trade in Goods - September (a)	-94.1	-94.3
Wholesale Inventories - September (a)	0.0%	0.1

S&P Case/Shiller Index - August
Twenty City M/M	-0.3%	0.0
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.4	0.3
Twenty City Y/Y	5.2	5.9
Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA

FHFA House Price Index - August	0.2%	0.1
Consumer Confidence	99.3	98.7
JOLTS - September	7.900	8.040

October 30
ADP Employment Report - October	115K	143

GDP - Q3 (a)	3.0%	3.0
Pending Home Sale Index - September	72.0	70.6

October 31
Initial Unemployment Claims	232K	227K

Employment Cost Index - Q3	1.0%	0.9
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y	4.1	4.1

Personal Income - September	0.4%	0.2
Personal Spending	0.2	0.2
PCE Price Index	0.2	0.1
Core PCE Price Index	0.3	0.1

Chicago PMI	46.1	46.6

November 1
Nonfarm Payrolls - October	140K	254
Private	115	223
Manufacturing	-30	-7
Unemployment	4.1	4.1
Average Workweek	34.2	34.2
Average Hourly Earnings	0.3	0.4

ISM (Mfg) - October	47.6	47.2

Auto Sales* - October	15.7M	15.1
Car Sales	3.0	2.9
Truck Sales	12.7	12.3
*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

Week of November 4
November 4
Factory Orders - September	-0.4%	-0.2
Durable Goods Orders	-1.0	0.0
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.2	-0.5

November 5
International Trade - September	-$71.3B	-70.4
ISM Services - October	53.6	54.9

November 7
Productivity - Q3 (p)	2.3%	2.5
Unit Labor Costs	0.5	0.4

Wholesale Inventories - September	0.2%	0.1

FMOC	4.625%	4.875
Consumer Credit - September	$10.0B	8.9

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