Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 30 & Oct. 7
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior | ||
| Observation | |||
| Week of September 30 | |||
| September 30 | |||
| Chicago PMI - September | 46.1% | 46.1 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -10 | -9.7 | |
| October 1 | |||
| ISM (Mfg) - Sept | 47.5 | 47.2 | |
| Construction Spending - August | -0.1% | -0.3 | |
| JOLTS - August | 7650K | 7.673 | |
| Auto Sales - September | 15.2M | 15.1 | |
| Car Sales | 2.9 | 2.9 | |
| Truck Sales | 12.3 | 12.3 | |
| October 2 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - September | 135K | 99 | |
| October 3 | |||
| PMI Services Index | 55.4 | 55.4 | |
| ISM Services - September | 52.0 | 51.5 | |
| Factory Orders - August | -1.1% | 5.0 | |
| Durable Goods Orders | -2.9 | 9.8 | |
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.6 | 0.8 | |
| PMI Manufacturing Index | 47.0 | 47.0 | |
| October 4 | |||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - September | 153K | 142 | |
| Private | 135 | 118 | |
| Manufacturing | 5 | -24 | |
| Unemployment | 4.2% | 4.2 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.3HR | 34.3 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | 0.4 | |
| Week of October 7 | |||
| October 7 | |||
| Consumer Credit - August | $12.0B | 25.5 | |
| October 8 | |||
| NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - September | 91.5 | 91.2 | |
| International Trade - August | -$75.3B | -78.8 | |
| October 10 | |||
| Consumer Price Index - September | 0.2% | 0.2 | |
| Core CPI | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| October 11 | |||
| Producer Price Index - August | 0.1% | 0.2 | |
| PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) | 0.2 | 0.3 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p) | 96.0 | 96.0 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 23 & 30
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 16 & 23
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept 9 & 16
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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