Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 21 & 28
| Here are my forecasts for the upcoming economic data. | |||
| Prior | |||
| Forecast | Observations | ||
| Week of October 21 | |||
| October 21 | |||
| Leading Indicators | -0.3 | -0.2 | |
| October 22 | |||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -15 | -21 | |
| October 23 | |||
| Existing Home Sales - September | 3.800M | 3.860 | |
| October 24 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.5 | 0.12 | |
| New Home Sales - September | 716K | 716 | |
| October 25 | |||
| Durable Goods Sales - September | -1.0% | 0.0 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - Oct (r) | 68.9 | 68.9 | |
| Week of October 28 | |||
| October 28 | |||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -9.0 | -9.0 | |
| October 29 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - September (a) | -94.1 | -94.3 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - September (a) | 0.0% | 0.1 | |
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - August | |||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.3% | 0.0 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 5.2 | 5.9 | |
| FHFA House Price Index - August | 0.2% | 0.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence | 99.3 | 98.7 | |
| JOLTS - September | 7.900 | 8.040 | |
| October 30 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - October | 115K | 143 | |
| GDP - Q3 (a) | 3.0% | 3.0 | |
| October 31 | |||
| Employment Cost Index - Q3 | 1.0% | 0.9 | |
| Employment Cost Index - Y/Y | 4.1 | 4.1 | |
| Personal Income - September | 0.4% | 0.2 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| PCE Price Index | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Core PCE Price Index | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Novenber 1 | |||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - October | 140K | 254 | |
| Private | 115 | 223 | |
| Manufacturing | -30 | -7 | |
| Unemployment | 4.1% | 4.1 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.2HR | 34.2 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | 0.4 | |
| Auto Sales - October | 15.7M | 15.1 | |
| Car Sales | 3.0 | 2.9 | |
| Truck Sales | 12.7 | 12.3 |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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