Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of July 25

July 25

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - June

0.01

0.01

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-10.0

-17.7

July 26

S&P Case/Shiller Index - May

Twenty City M/M

2.1%

2.3

Twenty City M/M - SA

1.6

1.8

1.5

Twenty City Y/Y

21.1

21.2

20.8

FHFA Home Price Index - May

1.6%

1.6

Consumer Confidence - July

97.0

98.7

97.3

New Home Sales - June

670K

696

664

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

-10

-19

July 27

Durable Goods Orders - June

0.3%

0.8

-0.3

International Trade in Goods - June

-$103.2B

-106.7

Wholesale Inventories - June (a)

2.0%

1.8

Pending Home Sale Index - June

99.0

99.9

98.4

FMOC

2.375%

1.625

July 28

Initial Unemployment Claims

260K

251

253

GDP - Q2 (a)

0.3%

-1.6

0.4

July 29

Employment Cost Index - Q2

1.0%

1.4

1.2

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

4.5

4.5

Personal Income - June

0.5%

0.5

0.5

Personal Spending

0.8

0.2

0.9

Chicago PMI - July

56.5

56.0

55.4

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (r)

51.1

51.1

51.1

Week of August 1

August 1

PMI Manufacturing Index - July

52.3

52.3

ISM (Mfg) - July

53.0

53.0

Construction Spending - June

0.3%

-0.1

0.2

August 2

JOLTS - June

11.000M

11.254

Auto Sales - July

13.5M

13.0

Car Sales

2.8

2.7

Truck Sales

10.7

10.3

August 3

ADP Employment Report - July

220K

128

PMI Services Index

47.0

47.0

ISM Services - July

53.0

55.3

Factory Orders - June

0.4%

1.6

Durable Goods Orders 

0.3

0.8

Nondurable Goods Orders 

0.5

2.3

August 4

International Trade - June

-$81.9B

-85.4

-82.0

August 5

Nonfarm Payrolls - July

250K

372

260

Private

220

381

230

Manufacturing

20

29

20

Unemployment

3.60%

3.6

3.6

Average Workweek

34.5HR

34.5

34.5

Average Hourly Earnings

0.3%

0.3

0.3

Consumer Credit - June

$22.0B

22.3

24.5