Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of July 11

July 12

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - July

93.1

93.1

July 13

Consumer Price Index - June

1.0%

1.0

1.1

Core CPI

0.6

0.6

06

Treasury Budget - June

-$30.0B

-66.2

July 14

Initial Unemployment Claims

235

235

235

Producer Producer Index - June

0.8%

0.8

0.8

PPI less food energy and trade services

0.5

0.5

July 15

Retail Sales - June

0.4%

-0.3

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.6

0.5

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gasoline

0.2

0.1

Retail Sales, Gasoline

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

0.0

-1.2

-2.0

Export Prices -  June

0.7%

0.6

1.1

Import Prices

0.7

2.8

0.7

Import Prices, ex-Energy

0.6

-0.1

Industrial Production - June

0.3%

0.2

0.1

Capacity Utilization

79.2

79.0

Manufacturing

0.3

-0.1

0.0

Business Inventories - May

1.4%

1.2

1.2

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)

50.0

50.0

49.8

Week of July 18

July 18

NAHB Index - July

67

67

July 19

Housing Starts - June

1.630K

1.545

1.559

Building Permits

1.695

1.695

July 20

Existing Home Sales - June

5.330M

5.410

5.410

July 21

Initial Unemployment Claims

Philadelphia Fed Survey

2.0

-3.3

Leading Indicators 

-0.3%

-0.4

-0.4

July 22

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

53.0

52.7

52.4

PMI Services Flash Index

53.0

52.7

51.6