Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of June 27

June 27

Durable Goods Orders - May

-0.5%

0.5

0.0

Pending Home Sales Index - May

97.0

99.3

95.3

June 28

International Trade in Goods - May

-$102.5B

-105.9

Wholesale Inventories - May (a)

2.1%

2.2

2.1

S&P Case/Shiller Index - April

Twenty City M/M

2.8%

3.1

Twenty City M/M - SA

1.6

2.4

1.8

Twenty City Y/Y

21.9

21.2

21.0

FHFA Home Price Index - April

1.4%

1.5

Consumer Confidence

100.0

106.4

100.9

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

5.0

-9

June 29

GDP - Q1 (f)

-1.3

-1.5

-1.5

June 30

Initial Jobless Claims

228K

229

227

Personal Income - May

0.5%

0.4

0.5

Personal Spending

0.6

0.9

0.3

Chicago PMI - June

58.0

60.3

58.1

July 1

PMI Manufacturing Index - June

52,4

52.4

ISM (Mfg) - June

55.8

56.1

55.0

Construction Spending - May

0.7%

0.2

0.4

Auto Sales - June

13.8M

12.7

Car Sales

2.8

2.7

Truck Sales

11.0

10.0

Week of July 4

July 5

Factory Orders - May

-0.3%

0.3

0.3

Durable Goods Orders 

-0.5

0.5

Nondurable Goods Orders 

0.2

0.2

July 6

PMI Services Index

51.6

51.6

ISM Services - June

56.4

55.9

55.4

JOLTS - May

11.1M

11.4

July 7

ADP Employment Report - June

230K

128

International Trade - May

-$82.5B

-87.1

-86.6

July 8

Nonfarm Payrolls - June

250K

390

250.0

Private

230

333

Manufacturing

40

18

25

Unemployment

3.6

3.6

3.6

Average Workweek

34.6

34.6

34.6

Average Hourly Earnings

0.3

0.3

0.3

Consumer Credit - May

34.0B

38.1