Economic Data Forecast For The Week Of Oct. 26, 2026

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Week of October 26

October 26

Chicago Fed National Activity Index

-0.1

-0.04

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

7.0

9.8

October 27

Durable Goods Sales - September

-0.1%

-0.1

Wholesale Inventories - September (a)

0.2

0.5

S&P Case/Shiller Index - August

Twenty City M/M

-0.5%

0.0

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.3

0.3

Twenty City Y/Y

2.5

2.5

FHFA House Price Index - August

0.1%

0.3

Consumer Confidence

83.5

81.9

New Home Sales - September

610K

684

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

0

-2

October 28

International Trade in Goods - September (a)

-137.0B

-132.6

FOMC

3.875

3.875

October  29

GDP - Q3 (a)

3.2%

2.2

GDP Implicit Price Deflator

2.8

6.4

PCE

3.3

3.4

PCE Deflator

2.6

5.0

PCE Core Deflator

2.7

3.3

Initial Unemployment Claims

Personal Income - September

0.3%

0.2

Personal Spending

0.4

0.9

PCE Price Index

0.4

0.3

Core PCE Price Index

0.4

0.2

Real Personal Spending

0.0

0.6

October 30

Employment Cost Index - Q3

0.7%

0.9

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

3.3

3.4

Chicago PMI

50.0

58.8