Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 26 And Feb. 2
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | ||||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | |||
| Week of January 26 | ||||
| January 26 | ||||
| Durable Goods Orders -November | 0.5% | -2.2 | ||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - December | 0.0 | -0.21 | ||
| Dallas Fed Index - January | -9.0 | -10.9 | ||
| January 27 | ||||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - November | ||||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.2% | -0.3 | ||
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.3 | 0.4 | ||
| Twenty City Y/Y | 1.2 | 1.3 | ||
| New Home Sales - November | 730K | 737 | ||
| New Home Sales - December | 730 | |||
| FHFA Housing Market Index - November | 0.3% | 0.4 | ||
| Consumer Confidence Index | 90.1 | 89.1 | ||
| Richmond Fed Index | -4 | -7 | ||
| January 28 | ||||
| Wholesale Inventories - November | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||
| FOMC | 3.625% | 3.625 | ||
| January 29 | ||||
| International Trade - November | -$55.0B | -29.4 | ||
| Wholesale Inventories - November | 0.2% | 0.2 | ||
| GDP - Q4 (a) - delayed | 2.0% | 4.3 | ||
| Productivity - Q(3) - revised | 4.9% | 4.9 | ||
| Unit Labor Cost | -1.9 | -1.9 | ||
| Factory Orders - November | 0.4% | -1.3 | ||
| Durable Goods Orders | 0.5 | -2.2 | ||
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.3 | -0.4 | ||
| January 30 | ||||
| Producer Price Index - December | 0.0% | 0.2 | ||
| PPI less food, energy and trade services | 0.3 | 0.2 | ||
| Energy | ||||
| Chicago PMI - January | 40.0 | 43.5 | ||
| Week of February 2 | ||||
| February 2 | ||||
| ISM (Mfg) - January | 48.5 | 47.9 | ||
| February 3 | ||||
| Auto Sales - January | 15.8 | 16.0 | ||
| Car Sales | 2.8 | 2.8 | ||
| Truck Sales | 13.0 | 13.2 | ||
| February 4 | ||||
| ADP Employment Survey - January | 45K | 41 | ||
| JOLTS - December | 7.10M | 7.15 | ||
| February 6 | ||||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - January | 55K | 50 | ||
| Private | 42 | 37 | ||
| Manufacturing | -5 | -8 | ||
| Unemployment | 4.4% | 4.4 | ||
| Average Workweek | 34.2HR | 34.2 | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.2% | 0.3 | ||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p) | ||||
| Consumer Credit - December | 10B | 4.2B | ||
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For Jan. 19 Thru Feb. 3Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 12 And 19
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Dec. 29 And Jan. 5
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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