Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 6 And 13
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
Week of February 6 |
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February 7 |
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|
|
International Trade - December |
-$69.3B |
-61.5 |
-68.5 |
Consumer Credit - December |
$27B |
27 |
24 |
|
|
|
|
February 8 |
|
|
|
Wholesale Inventories (f) |
0.1% |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
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|
February 9 |
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|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
190K |
183 |
194 |
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February 10 |
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|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p) |
64.9 |
64.9 |
64.9 |
Treasury Budget - January |
$110.0B |
-85.0 |
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|
Week of February 13 |
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February 14 |
|
|
|
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January |
89.8 |
89.8 |
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|
|
|
Consumer Price Index - January |
0.4% |
-0.1 |
|
Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.3 |
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|
February 15 |
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|
|
Retail Sales - January |
0.9% |
-1.1 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.4 |
-1.1 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.2 |
-0.7 |
|
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|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-22.0 |
-32.9 |
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|
Industrial Production - January |
0.2% |
-0.7 |
|
Manufacturing Output |
0.2 |
-1.3 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
78.8 |
78.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Business Iinventories - December |
0.3% |
0.4 |
|
NAHB Index - February |
35 |
35 |
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|
February 16 |
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|
|
Producer Price Index - January |
0.4% |
-0.5 |
|
Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services) |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
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|
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|
Housing Starts - January |
1..380M |
1.382 |
|
Building Permits |
1.350 |
1.330 |
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|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
-6.9 |
-8.9 |
|
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February 17 |
|
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Export Prices - January |
-0.2% |
-2.6 |
|
Import Prices |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
|
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum |
-0.5 |
0.8 |
|
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|
Leading Indicators - January |
-0.3 |
-1.0 |
|
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More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 30 And Feb. 6
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 23 And 30
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 16 And 23
Peter Morici is an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, and a national columnist.