Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of  February 6

February 7

International Trade - December

-$69.3B

-61.5

-68.5

Consumer Credit - December

$27B

27

24

February 8

Wholesale Inventories (f)

0.1%

0.1

0.1

February 9

Initial Unemployment Claims

190K

183

194

February 10

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p)

64.9

64.9

64.9

Treasury Budget - January

$110.0B

-85.0

Week of February 13

February 14

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January

89.8

89.8

Consumer Price Index - January

0.4%

-0.1

Core CPI

0.3

0.3

February 15

Retail Sales - January

0.9%

-1.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.4

-1.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.2

-0.7

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

-22.0

-32.9

Industrial Production - January

0.2%

-0.7

Manufacturing Output

0.2

-1.3

Capacity Utilization

78.8

78.8

Business Iinventories - December

0.3%

0.4

NAHB Index - February 

35

35

February 16

Producer Price Index - January

0.4%

-0.5

Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)

0.2

0.1

Housing Starts - January

1..380M

1.382

Building Permits

1.350

1.330

Philadelphia Fed Survey

-6.9

-8.9

February 17

Export Prices - January

-0.2%

-2.6

Import Prices

-0.1

0.4

Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum

-0.5

0.8

Leading Indicators - January

-0.3

-1.0