Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of January 16

January 17

NY Fed Manufacturing Index - January

-4.0

-11.2

-8.7

January 18

Retail Sales - December

-0.3%

-0.6

-0.8

Retail Sales, ex autos

0.0

-0.2

-0.4

Producer Price Index - December

0.1%

0.3

0.0

Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)

0.3

0.4

Industrial Production - December

0.1%

-0.2

-0.1

Capacity Utilization

79.7

79.7

79.6

Manufacturing

-0.1

-0.6

-0.2

Business Inventories - November

0.4%

0.3

0.4

NAHB Index - January

31

31

31

January 19

Initial Unemployment Claims

215K

205

Housing Starts - December

1.395M

1.427

1.370

Building Permits

1.370

1.342

1.358

Philadelphia Fed Index

-8.2

-13.8

-11

January 20

Existing Home Sales - December

3.930M

4.090

3.960

Week of January 23

January 23

Leading Indicators

-0.7%

-1.0

January 24

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index - January

47.0

46.2

PMI Services Flash Index - January

48.0

45.0

Consumer Confidence - January 

107.8

108.3

Richmond Fed Index

-3

1

January 26

GDP - Q4 (a)

2.8%

3.2

Durable Goods Orders - December

2.5%

-2.1

International Trade in Goods (a) - December

-89.0

-83.3

New Home Sales - December

615K

640

January 27

Personal Income - December

0.3%

0.4

Personal Spending

-0.1

0.1

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (f)

64.6

64.6

Pending Home Sales - December 

75.5

73.9