Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of February 20

February 21

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

46.9

46.9

47.3

PMI Services Flash Index

46.8

46.8

47.2

Existing Home Sales - January

4.000M

4.020

4.10

February 23

Initial Unemployment Claims

195K

194

200

GDP - Q4 (p)

2.9%

2.9

2.9

February 24

Personal Income - January

1.2%

0.2

0.9

Personal Spending

1.4%

-0.2

1.3

New Home Sales - Jan

616K

616

619

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (r)

66.4

66.4

66.4

Week of February 27

February 27

Durable Goods Orders - January

-3.0

5.6

Pending Home Sales - January

77.9

76.9

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-9

-8.4

February 28

International Trade in Goods - January (a)

-90.3

90.3

Wholesale Inventories (a) - January

0.0

0.1

S&P Case/Shiller Index - December

Twenty City M/M

-1.0%

-0.8

Twenty City M/M - SA

-0.5

-0.5

Twenty City Y/Y

4.6

6.8

FHFA Housing Market Index - December

-0.4

-0.1

Chicago PMI - February

44.7

44.3

Consumer Confidence Index - February

108.1

107.1

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

-5.0

-11

March 1

ISM (Mfg) - February

47.4

47.4

Construction Spending - January

-0.1

-0.4

Auto Sales - February

15.2M

15.7

Car Sales

3.1

3.1

Truck Sales

12.1

12.6

March 2

Productivity - Q4 (r)

2.5%

3.0

Unit Labor Cost

1.6

1.1

ISM Services Index

54.2

55.2