Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 2 And 9

By Peter Morici

Sunday, February 1, 2026 12:57 AM EST

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of February 2
February 2
PMI Manufacturing Index - January	52.2	51.9

ISM (Mfg) - January	48.5	47.9

February 3
JOLTS - December	7.10M	7.15

February 4
Auto Sales* - January	15.8	16.0
Car Sales	2.8	2.8
Truck Sales	13.0	13.2

ADP Employment Survey - January	45K	41

PMI Services Index - January	52.5	52.5
ISM Services - January	55.2	54.4

February 6
Nonfarm Payrolls - January	55K	50
Private	42	37
Manufacturing	-5	-8
Unemployment	4.4%	4.4
Average Workweek	34.2HR	34.2
Average Hourly Earnings	0.2%	0.3

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p)	58.0	56.4
Michigan Year Ahead Inflation Expectations	3.8%	4.0

Consumer Credit - December	$10.0B	4.2B


February 9
Retail Sales - December	0.5%	0.6

February 10
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January	100.0	99.5

Employment Cost Index - Q4	0.8%	0.8
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y	3.5	3.5

February 11
Consumer Price Index - January	0.1%	0.3
Core CPI	0.2	0.2

Treasury Budget - January	-$192.0B	-144.7

February 12
Existing Home Sales - January	4.250M	4.350

More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 26 And Feb. 2
Economic Data Forecasts For Jan. 19 Thru Feb. 3
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 12 And 19

Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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