Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 3 And 10
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| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
Week of April 3 |
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April 3 |
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PMI Manufacturing Index - March |
49.3 |
49.3 |
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ISM (Mfg) - March |
47.5 |
47.7 |
47.5 |
ISM Prices |
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Construction Spending - February |
0.0% |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
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Auto Sales - March |
14.9M |
14.9 |
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Car Sales |
3.0 |
3.0 |
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Truck Sales |
11.9 |
11.9 |
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April 4 |
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Factory Orders - February |
-0.4% |
-1.9 |
-0.5 |
Durable Goods Orders |
-1.0 |
-5.0 |
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Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.2 |
1.5 |
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JOLTS - February |
10.400M |
10.824 |
10.400 |
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April 5 |
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ADP Employment Report - March |
210 |
240 |
205 |
International Trade - February |
-$72.0 |
-68.3 |
-69.0 |
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PMI Services Index - March |
53.8 |
53.8 |
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ISM Services - March |
54.6 |
55.1 |
54.5 |
ISM Prices |
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ISM Business Activity |
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April 6 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
198K |
198 |
200 |
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April 7 |
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Nonfarm Payrolls - March |
235K |
311 |
238 |
Private |
210 |
265 |
213 |
Manufacturing |
15 |
0 |
5 |
Unemployment |
3.6% |
3.6 |
3.6 |
Average Workweek |
34.5HR |
34.5 |
34.5 |
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3% |
0.2 |
0.3 |
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Consumer Credit - February |
20.0M |
14.8 |
18.0 |
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Week of April 10 |
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April 10 |
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Wholesale Inventories - February (r) |
0.2% |
0.2 |
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April 11 |
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NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - March |
89.9 |
90.9 |
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April 12 |
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Consumer Price Index - March |
0.4% |
0.4 |
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Core CPI |
0.4 |
0.5 |
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Energy |
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-0.6 |
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Treasury Budget - March |
-$260.0 |
-262.4 |
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April 13 |
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Producer Price Index - March |
0.2% |
-0.1 |
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PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.3 |
0.2 |
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April 14 |
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Retail Sales - March |
0.2% |
-0.4 |
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Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.4 |
-0.1 |
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Retail Sales, ex-Autos, Gas |
0.6 |
0.0 |
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Export Prices - March |
-0.4% |
0.2 |
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Import Prices |
0.4 |
-0.1 |
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Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum |
0.0 |
-0.4 |
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Industrial Production - March |
0.5% |
0.0 |
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Manufacturing |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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Capacity Utilization |
78.3 |
78.0 |
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Business Inventories - February |
0.3% |
-0.1 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment - April (p) |
43.5 |
43.8 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 27 And April 3
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 20 And 27
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 13 And 20
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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