Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 27 And April 3

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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.   

 
 
 
 
Forecast
Prior Observation
Consensus
Week of March 27
 
 
 
March 27
 
 
 
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
-11.0
-13.5
 
 
 
 
 
March 28
 
 
 
International Trade in Goods - February
-$90.0B
-91.5
 
Wholesale Inventories (a) - February
-0.1%
-0.4
 
 
 
 
 
S&P Case/Shiller Index - January
 
 
 
Twenty City M/M
-0.9%
-0.9
 
Twenty City M/M - SA
-0.5
-0.5
-0.5
Twenty City Y/Y
2.5
4.6
2.5
 
 
 
 
FHFA Housing Price Index - January
-0.3%
-0.1
 
Consumer Confidence Index - March
101.0
102.9
101.0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
-8
-16
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
March 29
 
 
 
Pending Home Sale Index - February
80.0
82.5
80
 
 
 
 
March 30
 
 
 
Initial Unemployment Claims
195K
191
196
 
 
 
 
GDP - Q4 (f)
2.7%
2.7
2.7
 
 
 
 
March 31
 
 
 
Personal Income - February
0.3%
0.6
0.3
Personal Spending - February
0.4
1.8
0.3
 
 
 
 
Chicago PMI - March
43.6
43.6
43.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - March (f)
63.4
63.4
63.4
 
 
 
 
Week of April 3
 
 
 
April 3
 
 
 
PMI Manufacturing Index - March
49.3
49.3
 
 
 
 
 
ISM (Mfg) - March
47.5
47.7
 
Construction Spending - February
0.0
-0.1
 
 
 
 
 
Auto Sales - March
14.9M
14.9
 
Car Sales
3.0
3.0
 
Truck Sales
11.9
11.9
 
 
 
 
 
April 4
 
 
 
Factory Orders - February
-0.3%
-1.9
 
Durable Goods Orders 
-1.0
-5.0
 
Nondurable Goods Orders 
0.4
1.5
 
 
 
 
 
JOLTS - February
10.500M
10.824
 
 
 
 
 
April 5
 
 
 
ADP Employment Report - March
210K
240
 
International Trade - February
-$68.8
-68.3
 
 
 
 
 
PMI Services Index - March
53,8
53.8
 
 
 
 
 
ISM Services - March
54.6
55.1
 
ISM Prices
 
 
 
ISM Business Activity
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
April 6
 
 
 
Initial Unemployment Claims
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
April 7
 
 
 
Nonfarm Payrolls - March
235K
311
 
Private
210
265
 
Manufacturing
15
0
 
Unemployment
3.6%
3.6
 
Average Workweek
34.5HR
34.5
 
Average Hourly Earnings
0.3%
0.2
 
 
 
 
 
Consumer Credit - February
20.0M
14.8
 
 

More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 20 And 27
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 13 And 20
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 6 And 13

Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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