Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of March 13

March 14

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - February

91.5

90.3

Consumer Price Index - February

0.5%

0.5

0.4

CPI Core

0.4

0.4

0.4

March 15

Retail Sales - February

0.4%

3.0

-0.2

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.8

2.3

0.6

Retail Sales, ex-Autos, Gas

2.6

Retail Sales, Autos

PPI

0.3%

0.7

0.3

PPI less food, energy and trade services

0.3

0.6

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

-6.3

-5.8

Business Inventories - January

0.1

0.3

0.0

NAHB Index

40

42

42

March 16

Initial Unemployment Claims

205K

211

205

Housing Starts - February

1.330M

1.309

1.310

Building Permits

1.350M

1.339

1.328

Philadelphia Fed Survey

-16.6

-24.3

-14.5

Export Prices - February

-0.3%

0.8

-0.1

Import Prices

-0.3

-0.2

-0.2

March 17

Industrial Production - February

0.6%

0.0

0.4

Manufacturing Output

0.1

1.0

-0.2

Capacity Utilization

78.7

78.3

78.5

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - March (p)

67.0

67.0

67.0

Leading Indicators - February

-0.2

-0.3

-0.2

Week of March 20

March 21

Existing Home Sales - February

4.150M

4.000

March 22

FMOC

5.125%

0.4625

March 23

Current Account - Q4

-$214.0B

-217.1

New Home Sales - February

635K

670

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - February

0.10

0.23

Kansas City Fed Index - February

0

0

March 24

Durable Goods Orders - February

2.8%

-4.5

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

47.0

47.3

PMI Services Flash Index

50.3

50.6