Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 16 & 23

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data

	Forecast	Prior
		Observation
Week of September 16
September 16
New York Fed Manufacturing Index	-3.7	-4.7

September 17
Retail Sales - August	0.3%	1.0
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.5	0.4
Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas	0.5	0.4
Retail Sales, Gas

Industrial Production - August	0.1%	-0.6
Capacity Utilization	77.8	77.8
Manufacturing	-0.2	-0.3

Business Inventories - July	0.4%	0.3
NAHB Index	39	39

September 18
Housing Starts - August	1.235M	1.238
Building Permits	1.365	1.396

FMOC	5.125%	5.375

September 19
Philadelphia Fed Survey	2.7	-7.0
Current Account - Q2	-$262.0B	-237.6
Leading Indicators	-0.3%	-0.6
Existing Home Sales - August	3.825K	3.950

Week of September 23
September 23
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August	-0.20	-0.34

PMI Manufacturing - Flash	48.4	47.9
PMI Services Flash	55.0	54.6

September 24
S&P Case/Shiller Index - July
Twenty City M/M	0.1	0.6
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.5	0.4
Twenty City Y/Y	5.9	6.5

FHFA Home Price Index - July	0.2%	-0.1
Consumer Confidence - September	102.0	103.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	-15.0	-19.0

September 25
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-14.1	-9.7
New Home Sales - August	700K	739.0

September 26
Durable Goods Orders - August	-2.9	9.8

GDP - Q2 (f)	3.0	3.0
Pending Home Sale Index - Aug	73.2	70.2

September 27
International Trade in Goods - August	-$100.0B	-102.7
Wholesale Inventories - August (a)	0.2%	0.2

Personal Income - August	0.4%	0.3
Personal Spending	0.3	0.5

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