Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 30 & Nov. 6

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data:

	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of October 30
October 30
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-16.0	-18.1

October 31
Employment Cost Index - Q3	1.0%	1.0	1.0
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y	4.3	4.5

S&P Case/Shiller Index - August
Twenty City M/M	0.3%	0.6	0.5
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.9	0.6
Twenty City Y/Y	1.6%	0.1

FHFA House Price Index - August	0.5%	0.8
Chicago PMI	46.0	44.1	45.0
Consumer Confidence	100.0	103.0	100

November 1
ADP Employment Report - October	135	89	150

PMI Manufacturing Index - October	50.0	50.0
ISM (Mfg) - October	48.2	49.0	49.0

Construction Spending - September	0.4%	0.5
JOLTS - September	9.500M	9.610	9.200

Auto Sales* - October	15.1M	15.7
Car Sales	3.2	3.2
Truck Sales	11.9	12.4

FMOC	5.375%	5.375

November 2
Productivity - Q3 (p)	4.0%	3.5	4.0
Unit Labor Costs	0.8	2.3	0.8

Initial Unemployment Claims	210K	198	210

Factory Orders - September	2.9%	1.2	1.9
Durable Goods Orders	4.7	0.1
Nondurable Goods Orders	1.0	2.1

November 3
Nonfarm Payrolls - October	155K	336	188
Private	135	263	145
Manufacturing	-20	17	0
Unemployment	3.8%	3.8	3.8
Average Workweek	34.4Hr	34.4	34.4
Average Hourly Earnings	0.3%	0.2	0.3

PMI Services Index	50.9	50.9
ISM Services - October	52.6	53.6	53.0

Week of November 6
November 7
International Trade - September	-$59.7B	-58.3
Consumer Credit - September	$12.0B	-15.6

November 8
Wholesale Inventories - September	0.0	0.0

November 10
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)	65.0	63.8
Treasury Budget - October	$35B	-171.0

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