Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 21 & 28


Here are my forecasts for the upcoming economic data.
		Prior
	Forecast	Observations

Week of October 21
October 21
Leading Indicators	-0.3	-0.2

October 22
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	-15	-21

October 23
Existing Home Sales - September	3.800M	3.860

October 24
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	0.5	0.12

New Home Sales - September	716K	716

October 25
Durable Goods Sales - September	-1.0%	0.0
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - Oct (r)	68.9	68.9

Week of October 28
October 28
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-9.0	-9.0

October 29
International Trade in Goods - September (a)	-94.1	-94.3
Wholesale Inventories - September (a)	0.0%	0.1

S&P Case/Shiller Index - August
Twenty City M/M	-0.3%	0.0
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.4	0.3
Twenty City Y/Y	5.2	5.9

FHFA House Price Index - August	0.2%	0.1
Consumer Confidence	99.3	98.7
JOLTS - September	7.900	8.040

October 30
ADP Employment Report - October	115K	143

GDP - Q3 (a)	3.0%	3.0

October 31
Employment Cost Index - Q3	1.0%	0.9
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y	4.1	4.1

Personal Income - September	0.4%	0.2
Personal Spending	0.2	0.2
PCE Price Index	0.2	0.1
Core PCE Price Index	0.3	0.1

Novenber 1
Nonfarm Payrolls - October	140K	254
Private	115	223
Manufacturing	-30	-7
Unemployment	4.1%	4.1
Average Workweek	34.2HR	34.2
Average Hourly Earnings	0.3%	0.4

Auto Sales - October	15.7M	15.1
Car Sales	3.0	2.9
Truck Sales	12.7	12.3

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