Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 11 And 18

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

		Prior
	Forecast	Observation
Week of March 11
March 12
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - February	90.6	89.9

Consumer Price Index - February	0.4%	0.4
CPI Core	0.3	0.4

Treasury Budget - February	-$240.0	-21.9

March 14
Business Inventories - January	0.3%	0.4

Retail Sales - February	0.3%	-0.8
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.3	-0.6
Retail Sales, ex-Autos, Gas	0.0	-0.5

PPI	0.3%	0.3
PPI less food, energy and trade services	0.2	0.6
Energy	1.8	-1.7

March 15
NY Fed Manufacturing Index	-8.0	-2.4

Export Prices - February	0.1%	0.8
Import Prices	0.1	0.8
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum	-0.2	0.6

Industrial Production - February	-0.1%	-0.1
Manufacturing Output	0.3	-0.5
Capacity Utilization	78.3	78.5

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - March (p)	76.9	76.9

Week of March 18
March 18
NAHB Index	48	48

March 19
Housing Starts - February	1.447M	1.331
Building Permits	1.500	1.470

March 20
FMOC	5.375%	5.375

March 21
Philadelphia Fed Survey	0.0	5.2
Current Account - Q4	-$209.0B	-200.3

Leading Indicators - February	-0.3%	-0.4
Existing Home Sales - February	3.950M	4.00

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