Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 26 And March 4
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
| Forecast | ||||
| Week of February 26 | ||||
| February 26 | ||||
| New Home Sales - Jan | 685K | 664.0 | ||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -18.9 | -27.4 | ||
| February 27 | ||||
| Durable Goods Orders - January | -1.3% | 0.0 | ||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - December | ||||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.1% | -0.2 | ||
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||
| Twenty City Y/Y | 6.3 | 5.4 | ||
| Consumer Confidence Index - February | 111.4 | 114.8 | ||
| FHFA Housing Market Index - December | 0.003 | 0.3 | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -12 | -15.0 | ||
| February 28 | ||||
| International Trade in Goods - January (a) | -$87.7B | -87.9 | ||
| Wholesale Inventories (a) - January | -0.001 | 0.4 | ||
| GDP - Q4 (p) | 3.3% | 3.3 | ||
| February 29 | ||||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | ||||
| Personal Income - January | 0.5% | 0.3 | ||
| Personal Spending | 0.3 | 0.7 | ||
| Chicago PMI - February | 46.6 | 46.0 | ||
| Pending Home Sales - January | 77.8 | 77.3 | ||
| March 1 | ||||
| ISM (Mfg) - February | 48.5 | 49.1 | ||
| Construction Spending - January | 0.002 | 0.9 | ||
| Auto Sales - February | 15.7M | 15.0 | ||
| Car Sales | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||
| Truck Sales | 12.7 | 12.0 | ||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (r) | 79.6 | 79.6 | ||
| Year ahead inflation expectation | 3.1% | 3.0 | ||
| Week of March 4 | ||||
| March 5 | ||||
| ISM Services Index | 52.0 | 53.4 | ||
| Factory Orders - January | -0.7% | 0.2 | ||
| Durable Goods Orders | -1.4 | 0.0 | ||
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.1 | 0.4 | ||
| March 6 | ||||
| ADP Employment Report - February | 150 | 106 | ||
| JOLTS - January | 9.100M | 9.0 | ||
| March 7 | ||||
| International Trade - January | -$60.9B | -62.2 | ||
| Productivity - Q4 (r) | 3.2% | 3.2 | ||
| Unit Labor Cost | 0.5 | 0.5 | ||
| Consumer Credit - January | $10.0B | 1.6 | ||
| March 8 | ||||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - February | 180K | 353.0 | ||
| Private | 150 | 317.0 | ||
| Manufacturing | 10 | 23.0 | ||
| Unemployment | 3.7% | 3.7 | ||
| Average Workweek | 34.2HR | 34.1 | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | 0.6 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 19 And 26
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of February 12 And 19
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 5 and 12
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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