Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 29 And Feb. 5


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of January 29
January 29
Dallas Fed Index - January	-10.0%	-9.3

January 30
S&P Case/Shiller Index - November
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.4%	0.6
Twenty City Y/Y	5.8	4.9

FHFA Housing Market Index - November	0.2%	0.3
Consumer Confidence Index	105.6	110.7
JOLTS - December	8.650	8.790

January 31
ADP Employment Survey - January	140K	164

Employment Cost Index - Q4	1.0%	1.1
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y	4.3	4.3

Chicago PMI - January	48.2	46.9
FMOC	5.375%	5.375

February 1
Productivity - Q(4) - preliminary	1.2%	5.2
Unit Labor Cost	3.0	-1.2

PMI Manufacturing Index - January	50.3	50.3

ISM (Mfg) - January	47.8	47.4

Construction Spending - December	0.5%	0.4

Auto Sales - January	15.8M	15.8
Car Sales	3.0	3.1
Truck Sales	12.8	12.8

February 2
Factory Orders - December	0.5%	2.6
Durable Goods Orders	1.0	5.4
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.0	0.0

Nonfarm Payrolls - January	155K	216
Private	140	164
Manufacturing	5	6
Unemployment	3.8%	3.7
Average Workweek	34.3Hr	34.3
Average Hourly Earnings	0.4%	0.4

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (f)	78.8	78.8

Week of February 5
February 5
PMI Services Index - January	52.9	52.9
ISM Services - January	51.6	50.6

February 7
International Trade - December	-$62.9B	-63.2
Consumer Credit - December	$10.0B	23.7

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