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Think Rates Are Peaking? Consider Mortgage-Backed Securities

Think Rates Are Peaking? Consider Mortgage-Backed Securities

Agency mortgage-backed securities offer superior yields to Treasuries with limited extension risk as refinancing stalls.

OpenAI Rains On The Tech Parade

OpenAI Rains On The Tech Parade

Conflicting OpenAI revenue data hit tech stocks as narrow market breadth mirrors the 1990s dot-com bubble.

The Hidden Opportunity In America’s Power Boom

The Hidden Opportunity In America’s Power Boom

Surging electricity demand from AI data centers and EVs is transforming solar into a critical, software-managed grid asset.

Energy Stocks Surged In Q3, With Refiners Out Front

Energy Stocks Surged In Q3, With Refiners Out Front

Energy stocks led the S&P 500 in Q3 with a 16.5% gain, fueled by a 50% surge in refiners like Marathon Petroleum and Valero.

France’s Debt Problem Is An AI Problem

France’s Debt Problem Is An AI Problem

France’s fiscal crisis stems from the global AI investment cycle and high interest rates.

Where Is AI Headed Next?

Where Is AI Headed Next?

Trillions in AI infrastructure spending are fueling a new wave of winners in hardware and power systems.

Estimates Keep Rising As Q3 Earnings Season Takes Center Stage

Estimates Keep Rising As Q3 Earnings Season Takes Center Stage

S&P 500 earnings are projected to surge 24.3% as the Q3 reporting cycle kicks off with JPMorgan and Citigroup.

Fed Minutes Signal More Tightening Amid Mixed Inflation Data

Fed Minutes Signal More Tightening Amid Mixed Inflation Data

Fed minutes signal another rate hike is likely by year-end to combat persistent inflation.

A Bull Market Party With A Very Small Guest List

A Bull Market Party With A Very Small Guest List

The S&P 500 hits record highs despite nearly half of its components sitting in bear territory.

October 2026 Monthly

October 2026 Monthly

Global markets remain resilient as massive AI investment sustains U.S. growth despite renewed tightening from the Fed and ECB.

Soft Labor Data Meets Solid Earnings: The Bullish Setup For The Market

Soft Labor Data Meets Solid Earnings: The Bullish Setup For The Market

Soft labor data and robust earnings projections create a bullish market setup. S&P 500 earnings are forecast to jump 24.6%, led by Nvidia and Micron.

Can The Diesel And Jet Fuel Shortage Be Solved?

Can The Diesel And Jet Fuel Shortage Be Solved?

Global diesel and jet fuel shortages are intensifying as production shifts toward lighter crude oils.

At What Point Are Yields Crazy?

At What Point Are Yields Crazy?

Bridging the gap to Social Security requires balancing high yields with capital preservation.

Weekly Market Pulse: Finally

Weekly Market Pulse: Finally

The 10-year Treasury yield's surge above 5% ends the low-rate era, signaling a return to historical norms.

Falling Behind

Falling Behind

The feeling of falling behind is an illusion. The discomfort it spawns is real. A trade placed to relieve that discomfort swings at nothing the market offered.

The Q3 Earnings Season Is Ready To Roll

The Q3 Earnings Season Is Ready To Roll

Sixteen companies will have reported by the end of September as we gear up for peak earnings season. S&P 500 earnings are forecast to jump 23.9% in Q3, all told.

What U.S. Yields Are Saying Now - And Where The Line In The Sand Sits For Risk Markets

What U.S. Yields Are Saying Now - And Where The Line In The Sand Sits For Risk Markets

Surging U.S. Treasury yields signal a 'price-of-money reset' that is pressuring equity valuations.

The Big State Monetary And Fiscal System Is Over

The Big State Monetary And Fiscal System Is Over

Surging sovereign bond yields signal the failure of "big government" as stimulus fuels persistent inflation and unsustainable debt.

Forget The Fed - Iran Just Took Both Of Saudi Arabia’s Exits

Forget The Fed - Iran Just Took Both Of Saudi Arabia’s Exits

Iran cannot beat the United States in a shooting war and has not tried. It has spent six months doing something else: making every route the Gulf uses to get oil to market too dangerous to insure.

The Research Says You Will Take More Risk After A Loss. Here Is What It Costs.

The Research Says You Will Take More Risk After A Loss. Here Is What It Costs.

The arithmetic is worth doing explicitly, because it is more brutal than intuition suggests. The gap between how those trades felt and how they performed is the whole subject