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Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ... more

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Unlike 3 Weeks Ago, Bulls’ Defense Tue Of Crucial Support On Major US Equity Indices Produces Mixed Results
Merely three weeks after successfully testing crucial trend-line support, major US equity indices once again go through a similar experience on Tuesday – successfully but only this time the save was not as clean.
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Fed Succeeds In Driving Investors To Take On Risk And Go Up Risk Curve, But End Game Is Bound To Be Painful Regardless
Last March, the Fed essentially urged investors to take on risk and go up the risk curve. They have obliged. Leverage is high in the system.
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CoT: Peeking Into The Future Thru Futures And Hedge Fund Buying This Week
Flows continued to cooperate. After taking in $25.9 billion in the prior week, another $9.6 billion moved into US-based equity funds in the week to Wednesday.
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In The Face Of Fed’s Aggressive Buying Of Treasury Notes And Bonds And Foreigners’ Selling, 10-Year T-Yield Has Spring In Step
The 10-year continues to perk up, eyeing 1.4 percent. The strength is seen even though the Fed continues to aggressively buy these securities, although foreigners have been cutting exposure.
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Potential VIX Breakdown Near-Term Opportunity For Equity Bulls, But Volatility Curve In Contango Medium-Term Risk
After sustaining over 20 for a year, the VIX risks losing that level in the sessions ahead. A breach opens the door toward mid- to high-teens near term. This will have taken place at a time when other metrics are screaming caution medium term.
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CoT: Looking Into The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Buying
The Fed wants to continue to expand its balance sheet – $7.44 trillion as of Wednesday, up from $4.24 trillion in the first week of last March – and rates will not be allowed to rise too much. The problem is, rates are perking up.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
NDX Nasdaq 100 Index
OIL iPath B S&P GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN
SPX S&P 500 Index
TYX Treasury Yield 30 Years
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
VIX Volatility Index CBOE
WTI W&T Offshore Inc.

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Fed Succeeds In Driving Investors To Take On Risk And Go Up Risk Curve, But End Game Is Bound To Be Painful Regardless A
Last March, the Fed essentially urged investors to take on risk and go up the risk curve. Leverage is high in the system. When a reversal occurs, it is bound to be painful. It is a good time to buy some protection, which is cheap.

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Hedgopia
Paban Pandey
Hedgopia

My goal is to share what I observe and what I know – or pretend to know – and, more importantly, if you actively take part, learn from discussions that follow.

Blogs will primarily revolve around stocks, U.S. in particular, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives, particularly options.  And once in a while, I will try to throw a little humor here and there into the mix.

I plan to actively use charts.  Lots of times, they speak louder than words.  Hope you like the format.

And finally, some disclaimer.

This blog is not intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice.  Neither the information nor any opinion expressed here constitutes an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or participate in any particular trading strategy.

Cheers!