William K. - Comments

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Nasdaq Head-N-Shoulders Warns Of Market Weakness
3 years ago

Evaluating  what the future will bring based upon patterns of the past, even recent past, does seem to be putting a lot of faith on the predictability of the emotional state of others. So I will remind folks that correlation does NOT prove causation. That is a truth that has been repeated by others far more able and experienced than myself.

Because of my very poor mind-reading abilities, especially at a distance, I am forced to examine the actual performance and mmanagement of any organization to see the merit of investing in it. Certainly this requires more effort and time, but the result is better than making "lucky guesses" would be, at least the majority of times.

In this article: NDX, QQQ
Clash Of The Tech Titans And Revenge Of The ‘Old Economy’
3 years ago

Now the shift towards "green energy" has indeed resulted in reduced availability of the previously cheaper non-green energy. This has been, and still is, bearing hard on the developing economys of the world, making economic growth much more difficult.

(Note that this second post is because the prior post suddenly became unaccessable)

In this article: QQQ, SPY, UNG
Clash Of The Tech Titans And Revenge Of The ‘Old Economy’
3 years ago

Interesting article indeed! And an explanation of why some folks ride bubbles: It is possible, IF one makes just the right moves at exactly the right times, to "Get Rich Quick" via the bubble riding path. Of course it is also more likely to lose one's shirt by not making exactly the right moves at exactly the right times. But there will always be gamblers, and so bubble riding will continue.

Now the shift towards "green energy" has indeed resulted in reduced availability of the previously cheaper non-green energy. This has been, and still is, bearing ha

In this article: QQQ, SPY, UNG
The Price Of Gold And Inflation
3 years ago

Quite a worthy article, indeed! It should be added to most daily papers for all the folks to see.

And really, the effects of inflation are a lot like randomly tossed grenades:Some are injured a whole lot, others injured a bit, a few killed, and nobody benefitted. The difference being that with inflation as adminitered by our Federal Reserve gang, many of the wealthy financial sector do benefit, at least short term. That seems to be adequate reason for the Fed gang to keep pushing inflation without any regard for the well being of the bottom 80% of the citizens and other residents. This ongoing policy  tells me that there is need for a rather fundamental change, and the application of some serious accountability. Unfortunately I doubt that it will happen.

This Energy Company Has A Better 3-Month Return Than Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, And Litecoin
3 years ago

Prior to investing, it would still be wise to understand what has caused this large increase, because certainly there must be a reason for it to have happened. One thought that comes to mind is a "Pump amd Dump" trick, whereby a large number of shares are purchased, which activity sparks interest and many buyers, and once the price has climbed, that original buyer has others wanting in at the higher price, whereupon, after the initial lot is sold, the rest are standing and wondering "what just happened?" It might even be legal but that does not make it right.

In this article: CEI
Analysts See Considerable Upside In Alibaba Despite Price Target Cut - Here's Why
3 years ago

These opinions show why it is important to do more than look at the past few hours of trading to understand the probable future of a given stock, and if the choice should be buy, sell, hold, or pass.

Unless one is committed to random wagers with no prediction of win or lose.

In this article: BABA
Things Do Not Have To Run Out For Their Scarcity To Become Destabilizing
3 years ago

Improved logistics will certainly help a bit, and that often includes less government interference. And for the manufacturers of electronics, not always clinging to the bleeding new edge of product releases will allow the use of much more available components. THAT is what has lead to the current lack of the very latest devices.

Things Do Not Have To Run Out For Their Scarcity To Become Destabilizing
3 years ago

Certainly this article is "on point", and certainly a great deal of that "shortage" is a logistics problem and not really an actual deficite of material. Having the "right stuff" in the correct place at the correct time is truly a challenging task. Especaially with the push towards minimum materials on hand as a method of reducing capital expenses, logistics has become far more critical.

Woorse yet, the solution, while obvious, is certainly not simple nor easy.

China Panics: Beijing Orders Energy Firms To "Secure Supplies At All Costs"; Oil Soars
3 years ago

The plight in China servesanother purpose, which s to point out very clearly yjr intrinsic defect of central planning by totalitarian governments. Certainly other planners also make errors, but mostly they move quickly to correct. But government leaders do not have the luxury of  being able to change their minds and admit an error. Hence they rush into the wrong directions and don't reverse.

How To Draw Fibonacci Extensions
3 years ago

Really, A more mathmaticly sound process for finding a similar level would be to take the mathmatical derivatives of the math function defining the curve. The first derivative would describe the change in the curvature, the second derivative will describe how fast the rate of change is changing.

The huge challenge will always be determining the mathmatical function that describes the curve.

In this article: AAPL, POSH
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