The author loses a bunch of credibility by saying that Trump is competent. Albeit, that was a quote from 2016. Does he still view Trump as competent as a leader during a pandemic?
Yes, I’ve seen this study, there were not a lot of kids age 0-10 in the study and this comes back to virus prevalence. South Korea did not have huge numbers of cases or widespread community transmission. They had a well controlled and traced outbreak that likely didn’t give the virus time to penetrate the youngest and most isolated. We need to learn more before saying kids are not transmitters. We should not be making public health decisions based on one study from a country with universal masking, high compliance with rule following and a limited outbreak.
Test positivity rates and case counts in CA as well as deaths have been rising. But not anywhere close to that of AZ, FL or TX. For a state of its huge size, our deaths are lower than FL and TX on a recent daily basis, test positivity rates have been less than 1/2 those states and case counts on par with states 3/4 and 1/2 our size. CA’s size distorts some data. Yes, CA has a huge uptick but our hospitals are prepared and have room and our population are generally health guidelines followers and we’ve significantly rolled back reopening. With concerted efforts in mask wearing, hygiene and social distancing and effort to stop people from having private social gatherings like BBQs, we should be able to get things under control without another total lockdown... but it’s up to our population to act accordingly. We are much better positioned than TX, GA or Florida to do so without any lockdown.
There really is no to very little evidence that kids under 10 transmit the virus. The argument that younger kids are not spreaders is based on the fact that there is little evidence to support kids as spreaders. There is no evidence because kids through 10 are the least likely to be studied, least likely to be tested and most likely to have been quarantined at home without many social interactions. So while there is no real evidence that kids under 10 spread the virus like adults, there also is no evidence they don’t. Here’s where common sense and basic virology comes in. There is no logical reason to believe that kids under 10 don’t spread the virus like a 12 or 20 year old. Like Mary said, viruses don’t have magic age cutoffs.
A good read but his opinion is based on 2 highly irrelevant assumptions/statistics.
1. Haredi herd immunity in NY has led to decrease in death rate. This is false. The lower death rate is because of much lower virus prevalence, better testing, contact tracing and isolating of vulnerable populations and improved therapeutics. There is no evidence of herd immunity in any community on earth.
2. The false choice that any policy implemented in tiny Israel will have any effect on starving children in the developing world.
Given this person’s opinion is entirely based on these 2 unproven or irrelevant assumptions... this strategy recommendation is bunk. 😀
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Changing The Way We Fight Covid-19
My apologies. I misread your quote as competent.
Changing The Way We Fight Covid-19
The author loses a bunch of credibility by saying that Trump is competent. Albeit, that was a quote from 2016. Does he still view Trump as competent as a leader during a pandemic?
Changing The Way We Fight Covid-19
Yes, I’ve seen this study, there were not a lot of kids age 0-10 in the study and this comes back to virus prevalence. South Korea did not have huge numbers of cases or widespread community transmission. They had a well controlled and traced outbreak that likely didn’t give the virus time to penetrate the youngest and most isolated. We need to learn more before saying kids are not transmitters. We should not be making public health decisions based on one study from a country with universal masking, high compliance with rule following and a limited outbreak.
Changing The Way We Fight Covid-19
Test positivity rates and case counts in CA as well as deaths have been rising. But not anywhere close to that of AZ, FL or TX. For a state of its huge size, our deaths are lower than FL and TX on a recent daily basis, test positivity rates have been less than 1/2 those states and case counts on par with states 3/4 and 1/2 our size. CA’s size distorts some data. Yes, CA has a huge uptick but our hospitals are prepared and have room and our population are generally health guidelines followers and we’ve significantly rolled back reopening. With concerted efforts in mask wearing, hygiene and social distancing and effort to stop people from having private social gatherings like BBQs, we should be able to get things under control without another total lockdown... but it’s up to our population to act accordingly. We are much better positioned than TX, GA or Florida to do so without any lockdown.
Changing The Way We Fight Covid-19
There really is no to very little evidence that kids under 10 transmit the virus. The argument that younger kids are not spreaders is based on the fact that there is little evidence to support kids as spreaders. There is no evidence because kids through 10 are the least likely to be studied, least likely to be tested and most likely to have been quarantined at home without many social interactions. So while there is no real evidence that kids under 10 spread the virus like adults, there also is no evidence they don’t. Here’s where common sense and basic virology comes in. There is no logical reason to believe that kids under 10 don’t spread the virus like a 12 or 20 year old. Like Mary said, viruses don’t have magic age cutoffs.
Changing The Way We Fight Covid-19
A good read but his opinion is based on 2 highly irrelevant assumptions/statistics.
1. Haredi herd immunity in NY has led to decrease in death rate. This is false. The lower death rate is because of much lower virus prevalence, better testing, contact tracing and isolating of vulnerable populations and improved therapeutics. There is no evidence of herd immunity in any community on earth.
2. The false choice that any policy implemented in tiny Israel will have any effect on starving children in the developing world.
Given this person’s opinion is entirely based on these 2 unproven or irrelevant assumptions... this strategy recommendation is bunk. 😀