Steven Hansen | TalkMarkets | Page 135
Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: EconCurrents
Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of EconCurrents, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and process ...more

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May 2015 Economic Forecast: Slower Growth Continues With Confirming Evidence Of Economic Weakness
Economic Index is indicating growth will continue to be soft in May. The tracked sectors of the economy are relatively soft with most expanding but some contracting.
Austerity Vs. Deficit Spending - Is There No Science In Economics?
It seems unlikely that economics will ever rise to be a science. If it ever does it will be because the structures of both data and analysis reach entirely different points than they have to date.
Durable Goods Improved In March 2015? The Data Continues To Show Economic Softness
The headlines say the durable goods new orders improved reversing the weak data seen since November 2014. The entire gain this month is attributable to civilian aircraft - and the rest of the data is soft.
Rail Week Ending 18 April 2015: Reported Improvement In Rail Data?
Week 15 of 2015 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) improved according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data.
Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Continues To Contract In March 2015
Of the four regional manufacturing surveys released to date for April, one shows weak manufacturing growth while two are in contraction.
March 2015 Existing Home Sales Significantly Improved
Unadjusted sales growth accelerated 8.9% month-over-month, up 13.5% year-over-year - sales growth rate trend is accelerating using the 3 month moving average.
Leading Index Review: February 2015 Philly Fed Leading Index Growth Rate Statistically Unchanged
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the leading indexes for the 50 states for February 2015.
March 2015 CFNAI Super Index Continues To Show USA Economic Slowing
The economy was growing even slower last month based on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving average - and continues to grow below the historical trend rate of growth but well above levels associated with recessions.
Transient Effects, Inflation, And The Federal Reserve
What is particularly damning is that inflation growth rate has been declining for several years when a major monetary goal was to raise inflation to their target inflation range of 2%.
Residential Building Sector Soft In March 2015. This Sector Remains Weak
Residential building data remains soft. The rolling averages are the best metric to view this series - and the rolling averages are decelerating. This data was below expectations.
March 2015 Overall Producer Prices Continue In Deflation Year-Over-Year
The Producer Price Index inflation continued its year-over-year deflation. The intermediate processing continues to show a large deflation in the supply chain.
Employment Reports Continue To Be Guesses
Employment reports are truly guesses based on extrapolated survey information. Only the BLS Household Survey is not revised as the year progresses - but it still is an extrapolated number based on monthly interviews of 60,000 households.
February 2015 Consumer Credit Rate Of Growth Essentially Unchanged
Ratio of total consumer loans outstanding to consumer spending remains near historic highs.
2015 JOLTS Continues To Predict Elevated Jobs Growth Rate
The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) can be used as a predictor of future jobs growth, and the predictive elements show that the year-over-year unadjusted private non-farm job opening growth rate declined marginally.
March 2015 Chicago Purchasing Managers Barometer Remains In Contraction
The Chicago Business Barometer remains in contraction in March - although "improving" marginally. The authors of this index remain surprised.
March 2015 Texas Manufacturing Survey Rate Of Growth Contracts
The market was expecting -12.0 to -8.0 (consensus -9.0) versus the actual of negative 5.2.
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