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Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: Global Economic Intersection

Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of Econintersect, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and ... more

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January 2019 Import Price Year-Over-Year Inflation Now -1.7%
Year-over-year import prices and export prices again declined significantly. The decline in prices was not expected.
February 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Index Improved
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey index improved and remains in expansion. Overall this survey remains near the lowest values seen in the last year.
Rail Week Ending Saturday Feb. 9: Continued Soft Data
Week 6 of 2019 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) insignificantly improved according to the Association of American Railroads traffic data.
January 2019 Producer Price Final Demand Year-Over-Year Inflation Moderated
The Producer Price Index year-over-year inflation moderated from 2.5 % to 2.0 %.
Retail Sales Growth Disappoints In December 2018
Retail sales was significantly slower according to US Census headline data. There is almost no year-over-year growth when one inflation adjusts the data.
February 2019 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Highest Since January 2018
Market expectations for weekly initial unemployment claims was 222 K to 225 K (consensus 225,000), and the Department of Labor reported 239,000 new claims.
January 2019 CPI: Year-Over-Year Inflation Rate Moderates To 1.6%
According to the BLS, the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate was 1.6 % year-over-year (lower than the 1.9 % last month).
February 2019 ECRI's WLI Growth Rate Index Improves But Remains In Contraction
ECRI's WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward improved but remains in contraction. ECRI also released their lagging index and inflation index.
Rail Week Ending Saturday, Feb. 2: Another Bad Week
Week 5 of 2019 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) declined according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data.
February 2019 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Worsens
Market expectations for weekly initial unemployment claims was 220 K to 235 K (consensus 223,000), and the Department of Labor reported 234,000 new claims.
November 2018 Trade Data Worsens From Last Month
Trade data headlines show the trade balance worsened from last month - and the rolling averages for exports and imports remained in the ranges seen over the last 12 months.
January 2019 ISM And Markit Services Indices Decline
The ISM non-manufacturing (aka ISM Services) index and the Markit PMI Services Index continued their growth cycle but declined.
December 2018 CoreLogic Home Prices Up 4.7% Year-Over-Year
CoreLogic's Home Price Index (HPI) shows that home prices in the USA are up 4.7 % year-over-year (reported up 0.1 % month-over-month).
January 2019 Conference Board Employment Index Decreased
The Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI) decreased in January, following an increase in December. The index now stands at 109.56, down from 110.96 (a downward revision) in December.
November 2018 Manufacturing New Orders Decline
The health of manufacturing is gauged by the growth of unfilled orders. The 3-month rolling average rate of growth is currently slowing.
November 2018 Headline Wholesale Sales Declined
The headlines say wholesale sales declined month-over-month with inventory levels remaining slightly elevated.
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