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Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: Global Economic Intersection

Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of Econintersect, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and ... more

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August 2020 Economic Forecast - Some Improvement But The Pandemic Stopping Any Real Recovery
A recession ends when the economy begins to recover - and the economy is definitely recovering albeit still in contraction year-over-year.
June 2020 Headline Personal Income Declined, Expenditures Improved
This month again there was a coronavirus bounce which reduced income and improved spending.
Advance Estimate 2Q2020 GDP Drops Deeper In Contraction
The advance estimate for second-quarter 2020 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a negative 32.9%.
Rail Week Ending Saturday, July 25 - Mixed Data But Still Deep In Contraction
Week 30 of 2020 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) contracted according to the Association of American Railroads traffic data.
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Home Price Index May 2020 Year-Over-Year Growth Slows
The non-seasonally adjusted S and P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index (20 cities - although only 19 cities this month) year-over-year rate of home price growth declined from 3.9 % to 3.7 %.
Rail Week 29- Improvement Continues But Still Deep In Contraction
The week ending June 18 of 2020 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago). Total rail traffic has been mostly in contraction for over one year.
Trucking Industry Growth Improved In June 2020 But Still In Contraction Year-Over-Year
Headline data for the American Trucking Association (ATA) and the CASS Freight Index show that truck volumes improved but show the year-over-year growth deep in contraction.
June 2020 CFNAI Super Index Moving Average Index Suggests Economic Growth Again Improved
The economy's rate of growth again improved based on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index 3 month moving average - and the economy continues below the historical trend rate of growth.
May 2020 Business Inventories Decline
Headlines say final business sales data (retail plus wholesale plus manufacturing) improved month-over-month. The rolling averages improved. Inventories declined but remain elevated.
July 2020 Initial Unemployment Claims 1,300,000 This Week
Market expectations for weekly initial unemployment claims were 1,250 K to 1,375 K (consensus 1,323 K), and the Department of Labor reported 1,300,000 new claims
July 2020 Beige Book: Improvement Laced With Uncertainty
The consolidated economic report from the 12 Federal Reserve Districts (Beige Book) stated: "Economic activity increased in almost all Districts, but remained well below where it was prior to the COVID-19 pandemic".
June 2020 CPI: Year-Over-Year Inflation Rate Grows To 0.6%
According to the BLS, the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate was 0.6 % year-over-year (up from the reported 0,1 % last month). The year-over-year core inflation (excludes energy and food) rate was unchanged at 1.2 %.
June 2020 Producer Price Final Demand Year-Over-Year Growth Remains In Contraction
The Producer Price Index (PPI) year-over-year inflation unchanged at -0.8 %.
Rail Week Ending Thursday, June 4 - Some Improvement
Week 27 of 2020 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) contracted according to the Association of American Railroads traffic data.
May 2020 Headline Wholesale Sales And Inventories Remain In Recession Territory
The headlines say wholesale sales were up month-over-month with inventory levels remaining very elevated. Our analysis shows a decline in the rate of growth for the rolling averages.
July 2020 Initial Unemployment Claims 1,314,000 This Week
Market expectations for weekly initial unemployment claims were 1,150 K to 1,380 K (consensus 1,330 K), and the Department of Labor reported 1,314,000 new claims.
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