Blair Jensen | TalkMarkets | Page 5
President of Downside Hedge
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Blair Jensen is President of Downside Hedge which provides market commentary and hedging strategies for individual investors. His development of a stock market sentiment indicator based on the Twitter stream is changing the way investors and traders view ...more

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Wait & See
One thing of concern is that a few measures of breadth are starting to show some weakness.
Buying Stalls
Over the past few weeks the number of bullish stocks on Twitter have fallen sharply. This indicates that buyers of the most bullish stocks dried up as the S&P 500 Index pushed up into the 2400 area.
Market Health Is Bouncing Around
There is some weakness in my core health indicators and the ratio between mega cap stocks and large cap stocks is signaling rotation. It still remains to be seen if the rotation is a flight to safety.
Measures Of Strength And Economy Go Negative
Over the past week, some serious damage has been done to my core stock market health indicators. Most notably, the measures of the economy and market strength have gone negative.
Short Term Top Ahead
Sentiment for the S&P 500 Index is showing a bit of lag in the trend. As price is moving higher, sentiment is stalling.
Consolidation Possible
The ratio between S&P 500 Equal Weight Index and the S&P 500 Index is giving a small warning sign.
Bouncing Around
All the indicators are still positive, but could quickly move lower if the market doesn’t continue to rally. This is a time to keep a close eye on the market.
Buying The Dip
This past week saw traders buying the dip. If you look at the count of bullish stocks on the Twitter stream you can see that traders were buying more stocks as the market reacted to resistance near the 2300 level on the S&P 500 Index
Healthy Rally
If the market can clear 2300 then 2330 is the next level of resistance. A downturn here should hold 2250 unless we start to see tweets for a much lower level.
Bounce Back
All of my core market health indicator categories, with the exception of market quality, bounced back this week.
Measures Of Trend And Strength Fall
The market needs a rally soon or we’re likely headed for a larger consolidation. It’s time to start paying attention.
Bullish Sentiment On Twitter – But Resistance Just Above
Sentiment for the S&P 500 Index (SPX​) on the Twitter stream broke its triangle pattern to the upside. This suggests that this rally has more steam in it. Keep an eye on the confirming uptrend line from 7 day momentum.
Back To Full Exposure
Over the past week, all of my core market health indicators rose. Most notably, are my measures of market quality. This category of indicators went negative just two weeks ago, then flipped back to positive this week.
Not Much Hope At A Critical Point
Over the past several weeks, sentiment for the S&P 500 Index (SPX​) has been slowly deteriorating as the market traded sideways to down. This week the market turned back up, and with it sentiment.
Widespread Buying
The widespread buying that we saw in November stalled during December, but is now attempting to resume. Bulls want to see breadth continue to rise as support for the current rally.
Another Year Of Whipsaws
2016 saw longer term indicators whipsawing. The longest term indicator I follow is Dow Theory. It looks for trends that last from one to three years (or longer). As a result, Dow Theory gives a lot of leeway to counter trend moves
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